tdgeek:gzt:tdgeek:gzt: Part of a policy group announcement Friday:
NZHerald (AP Wire) But a U.S. military official, who requested anonymity to discuss planning, said the U.S. doesn't intend to use military force against North Korea in response to either a nuclear test or a missile launch. The official said plans could change in the unlikely event a North Korean missile targets South Korea, Japan or U.S. territory.
The timing of the policy announcement seems designed to reduce tension.
That has always been the policy, official or unofficial. The only thing that has changed is the old rant to get oil and food is fading. more pressure goes to PRNK. I can see PRNK acting bad, but silently hoping China brokers a deal. I'd hope that the US cuts off all trade with PRNK, and advises that while it will reduce the so called acts of aggression touted by KJU, the US will shoot any missiles that leave their waters or borders, and that it has no official intention to strike pre-emptively. Cards on the table.
Pres B.Clinton had a deal with NK for an exchange in exchange for halting nuclear development. It was working as designed, until Republican Party disruption effectively scuppered that outcome. After that, NK decided progress in nuclear and military development was the only way forward to guarantee security.
Imo USA should have officially ended the Korean war anywhere between 50 and 20 years ago. NK would not have pursued a nuclear path and it would be more like Vietnam or China today.
There is still time to restart that process. The current course of USA benefits absolutely no one.
Ive read a few articles on PRNK. Its a dictatorship, where if you dissent, you die. I see the rhetoric against the west as to scaremonger the people, that isn't going to change. They do a bad thing, we add sanctions, they say they want anymore, aid is given in terms of food and oil. Nothing changes. They do something, we send a ship in, they say its an act of war. Bottom line is you cannot negotiate a peaceful coexistence with them. Or in actuality, with the sole dictator. To remain in control, he needs absolute control.
The issue, would he attack? No. He cant attack as he will get attacked back, lose his position and/or lose face. For him to say that the US will pre emotively strike is him maintaining control over the people. The US won't strike, there is no need and no gain. If the tiger wont be nice, keep him in his cage, maybe one day the people will revolt, but with his iron hand, hard to see that. I favour increased sanctions. However that affects the people. Perhaps sanction everything possible, except food aid? Maybe SK allows free immigration to NK nationals?
Now, what happens if NK launches a missile and that gets shot down? That fine as he broke the rules so we shoot them down. If they got to Japanese airspace, thats technically an act of war, but lets be real and just shoot it down. But PRNK wills that we attacked their country. Thats the issue that means there is no means to negotiate on anything.
It could easily be, here is aid, be good, don't mess with us we wont mess with you, end of story. But he loses control as there is nothing to force the people to comply.
I believe SK already allows NK citizens. The USA does not diplomatically recognise the DPRK. There was an agreement for a ceasefire at the end of the Korean War and that is all. It is time the USA recognised NK, and made a diplomatic effort to provide the security guarantees the north seeks against invasion since the ceasefire of 1950 something.