networkn:
So I suspect if they can't take the ideal team, they may pick a close to perfect one, and then those players that may be needed, may be in Japan "on holiday" at the same time :)
Presumably when they are there, the 31, you probably have some fringe players, who aren't officially part of the tournament who help run drills and practices and make up numbers for an A vs B type testing scenario?
Not sure I am making myself clear, but hopefully you get it.
They can have players in the country but they can't participate in team activities or stay at the hotel etc. The IRB isn't that stupid and access to the facilities is controlled by them.
That directly influences the makeup of the team. They pick their best team (ie 23 players) then have to have cover for any injury that happens close to match time as the 48 hour rule applies. They also need to have flexibility for game plans etc. Just because a player doesn't make the squad doesn't mean he won't start if they have an injury. Eg if Ben Smith blows his knee out George Bridge may be the player they have start as he can do the same type of job. If Smith is fit he will all but one game so you don't need a direct sub, just emergency cover. Naholo can provide that.
Harris is a classic, he may not be as good as some of the younger guys but he knows how to prepare, he understands the game plan and if he doesn't play it won't matter. If Taylor or Coles do a knee at the captains run he can step in and play at short notice and not hurt the side.
This is why they must have 5 props and 3 hookers - you can't safely field a team without 4 props and 2 hookers. Same reason all teams have 3 halfbacks, with the halfbacks work rate you need 2 in your playing team. Outside of prop, lock and wing they won't go much further than the guys they have used for the last 2 years unless there is injury. You can sub in props, locks and wings reasonably easily, the rest rely on combinations far more than those positions.
The team will look a bit like this, some of the starters/bench may move a bit but this is the side I think Hansen wants to play. Coles and Williams are the guys most at risk of going to bench and Lienert-Brown could maybe be on the bench.
Starting side
1 Moody
2 Coles
3 Franks
4 Retalick
5 Whitelock
6 Squire
7 Cane
8 Read
9 Smith
10 Barrett
11 Ioane
12 Williams
13 Goodhue
14 Smith
15 Mackenzie
Bench
16 Tu'inukuafe
17 Taylor
18 Laulala
19 Barrett
20 Savea
21 Perenara
22 Crotty
23 Mou'uga
Covering Players
24 Tu'ungafasi (can play loose or tight head)
25 Harris
26 Tuipolotu or Hemopo (they will need 3 players who can genuinely play lock against South Africa, Ireland and England, Savea and Squire both cover 8, Barrett or Hemopo cover 6)
27 Todd (All Blacks always want a 7 on the bench)
28 Tahuriorangi
29 Lienert-Brown (Can play 12 or 13)
30 Naholo (Wing cover, can play both sides)
31 Barrett (Fullback cover)