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  # 2093245 19-Sep-2018 15:25
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Vanity Fair - As the Kavanaugh Nightmare Escalates, Trump Is Gripped with Uncertainty as Ivanka Suggests Cutting the Judge Loose

 


On Sunday, college professor Christine Blasey Ford told The Washington Post that Kavanaugh had allegedly attempted to rape her at a party when they were teenagers, thrusting Trump and the White House into a #MeToo crisis at a moment when they can’t afford to antagonize women voters ahead of the midterms. ...

 

[Trump] has been surprisingly measured in his defense of Kavanaugh.
In a news conference today, Trump told reporters, “I feel so badly for him that he’s going through this,” but refrained from attacking Ford. ...

 

The threat of losing the House and Senate seems to have helped convince Trump not to go scorched-earth on Ford.
If Trump antagonizes women voters, it could increase the odds Republicans would lose both houses in Congress.

 

“Trump knows the Senate is not looking good,” an outside adviser said. “It’s all about the impeachment, he knows it’s coming.”

 

 





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  # 2093264 19-Sep-2018 15:43
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Fred99:

 

The US obviously has the upper hand on trade war if tariffs are going to be the sole response, as the US is far less exposed to reduction in exports to China than vice-versa.

 

 

 

 

I don't think it's that obvious at all. China has lots of other markets to sell to, and the USA can't just start making iPhones in Iowa overnight: it would take a decade at least to setup all the supply chains and train the people. And at any stage if it looks like something is just about ready to go (for example, a rare earth mineral mine) there's nothing stopping China from selling off cheap for long enough to derail the project.

 

It's Trump against the world, here.

 

It's worth remembering that the US has put itself in this position. Nobody put a gun against Apple's head and forced them to build phones in China. Nobody forces US companies to buy Chinese steel. They did it because it was the most profitable course of action. China is definitely playing dirty with forced IP transfers and local partnerships etc. But apparently that's still immensely profitable for those companies. I don't have a lot of sympathy at all, to be honest.





iPad Pro 11" + iPhone XS + 2degrees 4tw!

 

These comments are my own and do not represent the opinions of 2degrees.


 
 
 
 


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  # 2093378 19-Sep-2018 18:37
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Winning trade wars may be easy according to Trump. Not so easy may be hanging onto key senate and congressional seats when  those states are being targeted by specific tariffs.


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  # 2093478 19-Sep-2018 21:04
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SaltyNZ:

 

I don't think it's that obvious at all. China has lots of other markets to sell to, and the USA can't just start making iPhones in Iowa overnight: it would take a decade at least to setup all the supply chains and train the people. And at any stage if it looks like something is just about ready to go (for example, a rare earth mineral mine) there's nothing stopping China from selling off cheap for long enough to derail the project.

 

 

China is like a different world.  We stopped off at Shanghai for a few days on the way to the UK a while back.  There were two lads who's entire job was to stand outside the small hotel we stayed in, and open the door for guests.  Every one of the raised grass squares along The Bund had its own man or woman in uniform, blowing a whistle to keep people off the grass.  Our tour guide told us about her extended family who all lived in an apartment the size of our garage.  AFAIK there is no Social Security or Benefits.  If you don't work, you don't eat.  You don't see many fat people in China. And this was Shanghai where rural Chinese dream of going to become rich, but rich is a relative term for them.  America can't compete with a Chinese worker's low expectations of income and working conditions.  How much more would you be prepared pay for the latest iPhone just to know it was made in New Zealand or America?





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  # 2093498 19-Sep-2018 21:37
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Those two lads will soon have a side job mailing iPhones duty free to USA ; ).

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  # 2093605 20-Sep-2018 08:51
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SaltyNZ:

 

Fred99:

 

The US obviously has the upper hand on trade war if tariffs are going to be the sole response, as the US is far less exposed to reduction in exports to China than vice-versa.

 

 

 

 

I don't think it's that obvious at all. China has lots of other markets to sell to, and the USA can't just start making iPhones in Iowa overnight: it would take a decade at least to setup all the supply chains and train the people. And at any stage if it looks like something is just about ready to go (for example, a rare earth mineral mine) there's nothing stopping China from selling off cheap for long enough to derail the project.

 

It's Trump against the world, here.

 

It's worth remembering that the US has put itself in this position. Nobody put a gun against Apple's head and forced them to build phones in China. Nobody forces US companies to buy Chinese steel. They did it because it was the most profitable course of action. China is definitely playing dirty with forced IP transfers and local partnerships etc. But apparently that's still immensely profitable for those companies. I don't have a lot of sympathy at all, to be honest.

 

 

Sure - and I agree about the US putting themselves in the position.

 

I do however think it would be much harder for China to find alternative markets for >US$500 billion worth of product, than for the US to find alternative markets for US$130 billion worth.

 

China only takes 5.6% of total US exports.  The US takes about 23% of Chinese exports.

 

That's actually not surprising in the least - despite being only 5% of the world's population, the US takes about 25% of most resources on the planet, generates about 25% of pollution, spends about 40% of the world's total on their military, yet has a POTUS crying poor and wanting to "MAGA" at any cost - despite already being the wealthiest nation on earth.


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  # 2093611 20-Sep-2018 09:09
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Fred99:

 

China only takes 5.6% of total US exports.  The US takes about 23% of Chinese exports.

 

 

Agree. However, I feel that 25% tariffs will hurt the US citizens a lot, as they will pay as the tax will be passed on. In the medium term, China will still export a lot to the US as Id say a 25% tax added to a cheap good would still be better than US made iPhone or toaster. Short term the exports to the US will remain high, as they are so large and cannot be sourced elsewhere in quantity. If that's the case, China is less affected, and the US is more affected. As you say, China will look elsewhere, which is a long term issue.

 

Once the US shopper is hurting, all hell will break loose as their POTUS caused that wallet hurt 


 
 
 
 


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  # 2093615 20-Sep-2018 09:19
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tdgeek:

 

Fred99:

 

China only takes 5.6% of total US exports.  The US takes about 23% of Chinese exports.

 

 

Agree. However, I feel that 25% tariffs will hurt the US citizens a lot, as they will pay as the tax will be passed on. In the medium term, China will still export a lot to the US as Id say a 25% tax added to a cheap good would still be better than US made iPhone or toaster. Short term the exports to the US will remain high, as they are so large and cannot be sourced elsewhere in quantity. If that's the case, China is less affected, and the US is more affected. As you say, China will look elsewhere, which is a long term issue.

 

Once the US shopper is hurting, all hell will break loose as their POTUS caused that wallet hurt 

 

 

Yes - I don't think the timing / way this is being rolled out is coincidence, if Trump / GOP still hold the balance after the mid-terms, Trump will ramp things up even more.

 

I'm not sure how well Chinese exports will hold up against tariffs.  I think there have actually been increases in US imports from China since this started, but there's a reasonable sounding theory that much of that could have been through increased demand for stock by US buyers - buying up before tariffs kick in and prices rise.  Low interest rates at the moment may make the cost of holding higher inventory levels a sensible thing to do - when price rises are known and inevitable.


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  # 2093620 20-Sep-2018 09:26
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Not safe for work, rough language

Add Toad to the List of Things Trump Has Ruined
The Late Late Show with James Corden



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  # 2093898 20-Sep-2018 15:48
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CNN - Donald Trump's failing grade on ethics

 


Washington (CNN) President Donald Trump loves to tout the fact that there has never been another president like him. When it comes to his ratings on ethics, he's right.

 

Gallup recently asked people to rate the ethical standards of Trump as compared to the seven men who held the office prior to him - so, all the way back to Richard Nixon.

 

The results were stark: Trump was rated as less ethical than each of his predecessors, often by overwhelming amounts.

 

The Point: Under the traditional rules of politics, a president who is regarded as unethical (particularly one who made a campaign promise to "drain the swamp" of Washington corruption) would pay a price for it.

 

Or is this yet another example of how political gravity impacts - or doesn't impact - Trump?

 

 





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  # 2093942 20-Sep-2018 17:10
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Politico - Trump, GOP growing more bullish about Kavanaugh's survival

 


President Donald Trump is growing more confident that his Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, can weather a charge of sexual assault and will be confirmed, according to two sources familiar with the confirmation process.

 

“I really want to see her. I really would want to see what she has to say,” Trump said. “If she doesn’t show up, that would be unfortunate.

 

"This is a very tough thing for him and his family. And we want to get it over with,” Trump said - before adding: "At the same time, we want to give tremendous amounts of time."

 

 

 





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  # 2094130 20-Sep-2018 20:35
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Trump quotes of the day :  undecided

 

Trump Calls Hurricane Florence ‘One of the Wettest We’ve Ever Seen From the Standpoint of Water’

 

Trump to Hurricane Florence Survivor: ‘Have a Good Time’





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  # 2094218 21-Sep-2018 06:51
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  # 2094239 21-Sep-2018 08:25
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https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/features/lebron-james-conquers-los-angeles-hollywood-1145452

"...American professional basketball player for the Los Angeles Lakers, LeBron James has long been an outspoken voice in the national conversation on race. When he was playing in Miami, he and his Heat teammates donned hoodies for a photo that served as a visual protest of the death of Trayvon Martin and Florida's stand-your-ground law.

And he's been unafraid to call out the frequent mendacities and insults emanating from Donald Trump's Twitter feed. When he responded 'U bum' after Trump claimed to un-invite Stephen Curry and the 2017 champion Golden State Warriors to the White House, it made national news and became the most retweeted athlete post of the year.

He's spoken out about the president's restrictive immigration policies.

And when Trump impugned James' intellect, tweeting Aug. 3 that Don Lemon, 'the dumbest man on television … made LeBron look smart' during a CNN interview — even first lady Melania Trump seemed to come to James' defense.

Asked if it bothers him that the president called him dumb, James just laughs. 'No, because I'm not,' he says. 'That's like somebody saying I can't play ball. That doesn't bother me at all. What bothers me is that he has time to even do that. He has the most powerful job in the world. Like, you really got this much time that you can comment on me?'"

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  # 2094451 21-Sep-2018 12:55
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/09/20/gop-congressman-jokes-about-ruth-bader-ginsburg-being-groped-by-abraham-lincoln/

"GOP congressman jokes about Ruth Bader Ginsburg being groped — by Abraham Lincoln

"..."Did y’all hear this latest late-breaking news on the Kavanaugh hearings?" Rep. Ralph Norman (R) asked the audience at a Kiwanis Club in Rock Hill, S.C., referring to the confirmation hearings of Supreme Court nominee Brett M. Kavanaugh. "Ruth Bader Ginsburg came out saying she was groped by Abraham Lincoln."

At 85, Ginsburg is the oldest Supreme Court justice and its preeminent liberal dissenter.

The comment from Norman, who is running for reelection in November, comes at the height of the controversy surrounding sexual assault allegations against Kavanaugh, who has denied the accusations. Elsewhere, Republicans have taken a cautious approach to commenting on the allegations, wary of the potential political fallout if their party is seen as dismissive of Kavanaugh’s accuser.

Norman’s off-color attempt at humor drew swift criticism, and many felt the congressman was making light of women who come forward to talk about their experience with sexual violence.

"Ralph Norman just proved he may be rich but he doesn’t have any class," tweeted Trav Robertson, chairman of the South Carolina Democratic Party.

The Twitter account for the party elaborated, writing that the joke is sexist and disgusting."

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