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Geektastic: I'd say mask wearing in shops and scanning in etc is barely 50% locally now.
I even saw some people in a supermarket yesterday who had masks hanging off one ear but not being worn.
Possibly not - but that is likely to be because most people have been wearing masks in supermarkets. If everybody stops wearing masks I would guess that there will be cases transmitted at supermarkets.
morrisk:
Possibly not - but that is likely to be because most people have been wearing masks in supermarkets. If everybody stops wearing masks I would guess that there will be cases transmitted at supermarkets.
I would think that is correct, but hoped that there would be hard data from all the contact tracing that used to happen.
once your contact tracers are overwhelmed they will no longer reliably link every case to every location.
once you stop naming locations of interest and stop contact tracing, you can't officially link any cases to supermarkets from that day forth.
All of Auckland is a LOI.
I think Dr B's remarks were about Delta, initially? It may not be the case with a significantly more infectious variant like Omicron.
Batman:once your contact tracers are overwhelmed they will no longer reliably link every case to every location.
once you stop naming locations of interest and stop contact tracing, you can't officially link any cases to supermarkets from that day forth.
I think I'll just keep wearing my mask every time I go outside now. Better safe than sorry.
morrisk:
Possibly not - but that is likely to be because most people have been wearing masks in supermarkets. If everybody stops wearing masks I would guess that there will be cases transmitted at supermarkets.
Probably true during the Delta outbreak, but even with widespread mask use I'd be surprised if there were NOT any cases picked up at a supermarket recently given the infectiousness of Omicron and the sheer number of cases (which will be much higher than the reported number).
Twitter: ajobbins
freitasm:
@mattwnz:
Are people buying them because they don't want to wait in line at a drive through testing station where you should be able to get them free? Or they want them before they get ill, so they don't have to go to a testing centre to get one and for it to be recorded with the MOH as a case?
You have to record RAT results at https://mycovidrecord.health.nz/ anyway.
Dr Bloomfield has said that they are only interested in +ve RAT tests being registered..... and that there is no point in doing it for negative tests...
Oblivian:Batman:
once your contact tracers are overwhelmed they will no longer reliably link every case to every location.
once you stop naming locations of interest and stop contact tracing, you can't officially link any cases to supermarkets from that day forth.
Again, don't say they've stopped contact tracing..for those without a cellphone/internet the team is still working
For everyone else, it's 'do your own tracing' (via the app upload and BT alerts)
Just cause everyone is in the same 'stuff that ' or 'why bother' mindset, doesn't mean it's stopped.
Infact high value places of interest are still to be named. Hospital etc. Just not low risk.
The MOH probably sent the wrong message IMO when they said they would stop publishing LOIs. IMO they should still be publishing them and doing full contact tracing for areas with low cases, and they shouldn't have let 500 staff just go like that. We will need to do scanning again when cases drop back and their contact tracing isn't then overwhelmed, so it is going to be difficult to get people scanning again, when it has become second nature. IMO they had a long time to really ramp up the contact tracing and scanning system to make it more automated, and so it doesn't rely on so many people manually doing it.
mattwnz:
The MOH probably sent the wrong message IMO when they said they would stop publishing LOIs. IMO they should still be publishing them and doing full contact tracing for areas with low cases, and they shouldn't have let 500 staff just go like that. We will need to do scanning again when cases drop back and their contact tracing isn't then overwhelmed, so it is going to be difficult to get people scanning again, when it has become second nature. IMO they had a long time to really ramp up the contact tracing and scanning system to make it more automated, and so it doesn't rely on so many people manually doing it.
If Omicron is everywhere and cases are everywhere, whats the point? A work colleague in Hamilton, his Auckland mate's work got tested, 130 of them, 65 have it
Ive read an expert says there may be 8X as many cases as reported, as many wont test just stay home, or its a cold, or they are asymptomatic. If that's the case, to a greater or lesser degree, the dailies show us on the Bell Curve, but the reality may be we are much further up the Bell Curve. In my colleagues example, 65 positives X the places they have been... And the 6 they each infected, and so on. Just treat it as its everywhere and take the precautions you can
tdgeek:
mattwnz:
The MOH probably sent the wrong message IMO when they said they would stop publishing LOIs. IMO they should still be publishing them and doing full contact tracing for areas with low cases, and they shouldn't have let 500 staff just go like that. We will need to do scanning again when cases drop back and their contact tracing isn't then overwhelmed, so it is going to be difficult to get people scanning again, when it has become second nature. IMO they had a long time to really ramp up the contact tracing and scanning system to make it more automated, and so it doesn't rely on so many people manually doing it.
If Omicron is everywhere and cases are everywhere, whats the point? A work colleague in Hamilton, his Auckland mate's work got tested, 130 of them, 65 have it
Ive read an expert says there may be 8X as many cases as reported, as many wont test just stay home, or its a cold, or they are asymptomatic. If that's the case, to a greater or lesser degree, the dailies show us on the Bell Curve, but the reality may be we are much further up the Bell Curve. In my colleagues example, 65 positives X the places they have been... And the 6 they each infected, and so on. Just treat it as its everywhere and take the precautions you can
The point is flattening the curve, and because most of NZ is weeks behind Auckland, and the low number of cases in many parts of NZ could still be tracked.. I heard one expert referring to it as a bit like a Mexican wave, where you will get the peak in Auckland occurring well before many other parts of NZ which may have their peaks weeks later. The risks at the moment of catching it will be higher in Auckland than other parts of NZ because of the % of people infected being higher. Apparently we are 1-2 weeks away from the peak in Auckland, and perhaps 3 weeks from the peak in hospital cases. But flattening the curve does help the health system to spread the load over a longer period of time.
mattwnz:
The point is flattening the curve, and because most of NZ is weeks behind Auckland, and the low number of cases in many parts of NZ could still be tracked.. I heard one expert referring to it as a bit like a Mexican wave, where you will get the peak in Auckland occurring well before many other parts of NZ which may have their peaks weeks later. The risks at the moment of catching it will be higher in Auckland than other parts of NZ because of the % of people infected being higher. Apparently we are 1-2 weeks away from the peak in Auckland, and perhaps 3 weeks from the peak in hospital cases. But flattening the curve does help the health system to spread the load over a longer period of time.
I dont want to disagree. I'd be ok with an 8 week lockdown, but most arent. And when most seem to be asymptomatic, thats a problem. And when most are over it, thats a problem. The saviour is that its milder, but its an issue for those with other issues. But its better than Delta for all of us.
IMO that ship has sailed, even though I feel your sentiment.
wellygary:Dr Bloomfield has said that they are only interested in +ve RAT tests being registered..... and that there is no point in doing it for negative tests...
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