Am I too positive? Maybe, but Im only looking at the math.
I really don't like to demotivate you. But for total NZ you are still exactly 11 days in behind of Hamburg who had the same count (989) the days before. I know there SHOULD be a difference but unfortunately IT IS NOT. That's why I try to emphasize that fact since a while (why else should you have a look to a single bloody German city in a completely different context than yours?). We're at 2739 infections at the moment, you're at 950 and there are 11 days to go.
I do feel there is a difference. We have been importing cases at international arrivals, and every day, the majority are from that source.It was thousands, now its barely 300 a day. Testing has doubled but its still linear. The main issue is that CT is very very low. 99% of our cases flew here in recent weeks. CT hasn't begun to cause any real growth. If we had no lockdown, it would have. Wit the drying up of our 99% source in cases, and the lockdown snuffling spread, I feel we are well on the right track. Our hospital use has been very minimal. We have been adding cases at 60 to 80 per day. As testing has doubled, the new case trend hasn't changed. In effect that means half of our extra tests gave zero cases. I feel there is little spread right now.