If this guy is right we've either wasted our time trying to eliminate the virus or we've potentially got a very long road of quarantine/containment ahead of us.
It's hypothetical, because experts seem to think it is likely there will be a vaccine within the next 18 months. We already know that anyone coming into NZ would need to be quarantined for 14 days, and that would need to continue until a vaccine, a good treatment, or the virus dies out in the rest of the world
NZ also doesn't have the health system to cope with a large number of people being infected either, so it is a moot point. Sweden has far more ICU beds and a far better health system from what I can see. Based on how many people are in critical condition in Sweden and all the deaths, their system doesn't appear to have been overwhlemed. I understand they even make ventilators over there. I don't believe NZs health system would be coping if it had the current stats of Sweden in proportion to our population. I haven't seen any recent mention of NZ increasing our ICU beds from the current 500 + we potentially have. Also as we are now increasing elective surgeries that had been put off during level 4, our hospitals will be more full and , as I understand they often operate at near full capacity most of the time due to the way the system works in in NZ. Not to mention that NZ is now heading int winter, whereas the Northern hemisphere is heading into summer, and the virus will likely thrive in southern hemisphere winter conditions from what Bill Gates said.
We also need to remember that NZ has largely followed the WHO advice, of trying to get rid of the virus and not allowing it to spread. Plus there is no evidence that herd immunity will work, and that people who get the virus won't get it again. .
Also Sweden's death rates is running at over 10% of confirmed cases. Based on NZ and Australias numbers, it is likely it doesn't kill that high a percentage normally, and it is a likely closer to 1%. SO their real number of cases could be 10 times that figure. Doesn't sound like they are testing everyone.