Scott3: Could be way worse than 5,000.
x60% infection rate
And that is on top of our normal death rate from seasonal flu etc.
And it dosn't include the people that die from other stuff which we could have saved them from if our hospitals and icu's weren't overloaded.
The above article discusses the likely death rate from COVID-19:
Last time former New Zealander of the Year Lance O'Sullivan was on The AM Show, he called the media reaction to the growing coronavirus threat "a lot of hysteria, a beat-up".
Now he's fearing COVID-19 could kill thousands of New Zealanders if it comes here, with our health system underprepared for the influx of potentially tens of thousands of patients.
If the virus gets loose in New Zealand, based on what we've seen so far, it's likely at least 5000 people would die - and that's a conservative estimate based on what happened on the Diamond Princess, a cruise ship on which the virus ran rampant.
Even if New Zealand's high-quality health system manages to keep the death toll down, the Diamond Princess experience suggests around 40,000 people could fall critically ill in an uncontained outbreak.