Great article from Newsroom.
I normally like Bernard Hickey, but I got to this part in the headline:
creating the single biggest choke point for an economic recovery based on tourism and cheap guest workers
and almost stopped reading.
I think if anybody is expecting an economic recovery based on tourism and cheap guest workers, then they're dreaming.
It's possible that there might be a partial economic recovery in tourism if we can get a trans-Tasman bubble thing going, but that's only going to be a step toward overall economic recovery - and anyway that eliminates the need for quarantine. "250 a day" means 3,500 in quarantine at any point in time.
3.8 million tourists visited NZ in 2018, that's 10,400 per day, so you'd need to be able to quarantine almost 150,000 people at any given point in time to have a full "economic recovery" in tourism. It's not going to happen.
As for "cheap guest workers" - the idea sucks - we just shouldn't be doing it.