You would have to say that the right result has probably happened given we have now managed 28 days without a local case since starting level 2.
You could argue we were lucky and playing with fire, or accept the MoH was playing it overly save and the economic health of the country also effects personal heath outcomes.
Either way it looks like we have most likely eliminated it for now in NZ.
I wonder if one reason he recommended longer, so there was also enough time to get the contact tracing up to the 'gold standard'?
But the situation got too political at that time, and many people were already relaxing things. But IMO, to be cautious, he was probably right to want to extended level 2. Level 2 is all really about restricting gathering sizes, as that could be a major problem if an outbreak occurs.
Level 1, we are really vulnerable, especially with all the Covid cases coming into NZ, and how easily it spreads. Contact tracing could be difficult, especially as few people are now tracking their activities it seems.
The problem NZ obviously has is with all the incoming people on lane that have the virus. There are lots of potential places where hole could occur. Allowing air crew from some of these hot spots and airline, and trusting them to self isolate and not require testing at all IMO is a potential hole.
If NZ gets new local cases, the odds are they have come in through the border and the case got through a hole.
IMO we need to minimize cases being brought in by airlines. One way is to fine airlines, which means airlines may put up their pricing to reflect this risk, which is an indirect way for NZ to help pay for the quarantine costs. That also means airlines will do far more to. Physical seperation on plane, masks etc, all should be getting done. It is nuts that international planes are just being filled to the max IMO.IMO this isn't acceptable in a post covid world where the virus is on fire outside NZ