I think that [Unemployment numbers and estimates] is based on this point in time. But things can easily change with COVID, and as teh WHO has warned, it is far from over, even though some world leaders think otherwise.
We have been both careful and lucky so far. But if we get a breach at our border, like has happened in Oz, and we get another outbreak, most likely in one of our main cities, then we maybe forced into lockdowns again. It wouldn't be good if it occurred in Auckland for example. But potentially it could occur anywhere.
Agreed. All these numbers are round guesses and estimated by economists. Could easily be higher. But I can't see the sky falling in regardless.
NZ will never go back to a total lockdown. It will be regional lockdowns if push comes to shove (And some mindless panic no matter what).
Auckland would be the worst place to have an out-break - and sadly the most likely.
Somewhere like Dunedin would be much easier to lock down with only 100,000 people and a few roads in and out.
The government will take it slowly and ignore the calls to open up before the election, but we may still find a case gets through. But hopefully not.
But I look at what Taiwan has done and have a lot of hope that an outbreak can be controlled and the damage mitigated for us.
But it's running wild in the world for the next few years. It won't be stopped in places like the US until they develop herd immunity (if that can be done).