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Ultimate Geek

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  #2477859 6-May-2020 14:36
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Here's the graph for Wednesday 6th May from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff

 

 

 




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  #2477937 6-May-2020 15:30
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@frankv: Yes (assuming fixed 17 days), though unlikely that we get no more cases.  Would be a very sudden drop in cases.

 

The 17 days applied at the time I posted the figure but as per plot below, in the case of NZ the 'equivalent days worth' that corresponds to active cases has steadily increased over time.  Only 7 days worth back at the end of March, rising steadily to about 24 days at 5 May.  A 3.5-fold increase!

 

Arguably due to an accumulating backlog of more serious cases but that barely stacks up given our numbers in hospital.  Or perhaps a changing demographic being infected (unlikely also - not that much change - last 3 weeks not that different to cumulative to date). 

 

Perhaps more MOH state of preparation/world view in the early stages, as suggested by comparison with Taiwan. Clearly they were not classing people as recovered quite so quickly.

 

 

 


 
 
 
 


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  #2478022 6-May-2020 16:44
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neb

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  #2478337 6-May-2020 23:53
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Latest graph from my friend in Austria:

 

 

 




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  #2478527 7-May-2020 11:32
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@neb:  Austria looks good of course ... until you look down to the line for South Korea and realise that it is not the axis line or a stray point causing the line for Austria to double back on itself (strangely South Korea same colour & symbols as Austria)?

 

Yes, Austria have performed better than many European countries. 

 

A little suspicious though that Albania, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Hungary, Lithuania, Moldova, Norway, Romania, Russia(!), Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Ukraine are all missing from the plot.   Perhaps a second plot comparing those countries to Austria? 😉

 

Or AU, NZ, HK, Taiwan, Vietnam (0 deaths, population 97 m), Singapore (so far), ... even Japan (so far)?

 

 

 

==
Re. Belgium.  Needs qualification.

 

Unlike many countries (not certain about Austria), their stats include confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the community, as well as a much larger number of deaths suspected to have been caused by the virus, even if the person was not tested (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Belgium).

 

Ours do include probable cases though apparently it is not common. 


neb

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  #2478578 7-May-2020 13:14
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DS248:

A little suspicious though that Albania, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Hungary, Lithuania, Moldova, Norway, Romania, Russia(!), Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Ukraine are all missing from the plot.   Perhaps a second plot comparing those countries to Austria? 😉

 

 

He's doing various countries of interest and I think countries where he has family. Adding all of Europe would overload the graph.

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  #2478803 7-May-2020 16:43
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Here's the graph for Thursday 7th May from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff

 

 

 


 
 
 
 




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  #2478844 7-May-2020 18:13
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neb:
DS248:

 

A little suspicious though that Albania, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Hungary, Lithuania, Moldova, Norway, Romania, Russia(!), Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Ukraine are all missing from the plot.   Perhaps a second plot comparing those countries to Austria? 😉

 

He's doing various countries of interest and I think countries where he has family. Adding all of Europe would overload the graph.

 

 

 

Yes, assumed something like that.  Not sensible to add yet more to that plot hence the (half-hearted) second plot suggestion.

 

More highlighting that ALL the European countries he is choosing to plot have higher deaths per capita than Austria.

 

ALL the other ones I listed have fewer COVID-19 deaths per capita than Austria ;-).  Well at least in terms of total deaths to date.

 

Too many to include in a single plot so perhaps encourage him to create a second version restricted to a selection of those other countries listed above.


neb

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  #2478859 7-May-2020 18:34
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DS248:

Too many to include in a single plot so perhaps encourage him to create a second version restricted to a selection of those other countries listed above.

 

 

He's just doing it for his own interest rather than any desire to perform a pan-European analysis. As I mentioned, it'll be countries fairly close to Austria socially/economically and/or countries where he has family, with a few well-known cases (Hubei, South Korea) for comparison.

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  #2479059 8-May-2020 09:31
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I was pointed to two different analytics dashboards (one created by a data analytics guy, another by the MoH).

 

COVID-19 Power BI dashboard (Jeff's original tweet)

 

COVID-19 MoH dashboard

 

If you haven't played with Power BI (the first link), give it a try by clicking different parts to filter/slice data.

 

 





 

 

These links are referral codes

 

Geekzone broadband switch | Eletricity comparison and switch | Hatch investment (NZ$ 10 bonus if NZ$100 deposited within 30 days) | Sharesies | Mighty Ape | Backblaze | Amazon | My technology disclosure 


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  #2479153 8-May-2020 11:04
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I found the Our World in Data  website last night.

 


It has lots of data on many areas including covid.
Searching Geekzone I found it was mentioned back in the mammoth Coivd thread but not every one will have seen that (I didn't).

 

Lots of interactive graphs and a daily updated CSV file you can download to create you own if you want. 


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  #2479222 8-May-2020 13:05
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  #2479258 8-May-2020 14:05
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Here's the graph for Friday 8th May from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff

 

 

 

 

 


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  #2479264 8-May-2020 14:23
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Active cases now down to 122,  8 DHBs are now reporting 0 Active, with another 6 in single figures ( + many have over 2 weeks since a new case)

 

In the past week 86 cases recovered,while only 11 were detected...its highly likely we will have another 6 days at level 3, so we will likely drop another 40-50 actives off, potentially leaving only 70 cases in the entire country....

 

Its quickly getting to the  point where those health researchers who signed NZ up to partake in a multi-country drug trial on potential COVID treatment might have to go back and say we can't help anymore because we are running out of cases, let alone enough people in Hospital.

 

 


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  #2479421 8-May-2020 16:49
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