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  #2466170 20-Apr-2020 14:03
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Here's the graph for Monday 20th April from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff

 

 

 


neb

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  #2466323 20-Apr-2020 15:17
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Latest graph from the friend in Austria who's tracking this:

 

 

 

 

 


 
 
 
 


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  #2466378 20-Apr-2020 16:04
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  #2466720 20-Apr-2020 23:55
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Updated plot shows local cases decreasing when plotted against 'Date of report'.  Same for total cases, as per frankv plot above.   

 

 

 

 

 

 

  


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  #2467157 21-Apr-2020 15:36
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Well, this is a good news day. NO confirmed cases yesterday, just two probable. Of course, that may change retrospectively whenever today's tests' results come back. :)


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  #2467169 21-Apr-2020 15:54
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There were two confirmed cases announced today and listed on the MoH site...very promising trend however





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  #2467177 21-Apr-2020 16:00
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Here's the graph for Monday 21st April from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff

 

 

 

 

 


 
 
 
 




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  #2467816 22-Apr-2020 13:51
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Update of plot. 

 

Note that the six new cases announced in the press briefing today included only 4 with a 'Date of report' being yesterday (3) or this morning (1).  The other 2 cases were from 16 Apr and/or earlier dates (some +/- with net of +2).  So down to just 3 (local & total) with a 'Date of report' = 21 Apr (yesterday).  The 1 case for 'today' is just what MOH received before 9 am so will very likely change in tomorrows data.

 

 

 


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  #2467880 22-Apr-2020 14:10
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Second day of no new confirmed cases. :) I've made a small change; from now on the predicted cases are zero, for the purposes of calculating the last 4 points on the 7-day moving average graph.

 

 


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  #2467941 22-Apr-2020 15:32
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These graphs etc are very informative, but why is there a discrepancy between the Active Cases number above and the official number of 401?  Or have I mis-read the graph?


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  #2467998 22-Apr-2020 17:40
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Here's the graph for Tuesday 22nd April from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff

 

 

 


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  #2468018 22-Apr-2020 18:53
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Where can you get historical data by region? I’d like to look at the case history in my local region but can only find the current numbers.



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  #2468025 22-Apr-2020 19:00
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Paul1977: Where can you get historical data by region? I’d like to look at the case history in my local region but can only find the current numbers.

 

DHB region info is available in the individual case data 

 

https://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-novel-coronavirus/covid-19-current-situation/covid-19-current-cases/covid-19-current-cases-details

 

 

 

If you let me know which region you are interested in I can filter for that


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  #2468028 22-Apr-2020 19:03
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shk292:

These graphs etc are very informative, but why is there a discrepancy between the Active Cases number above and the official number of 401?  Or have I mis-read the graph?



My graphs are derived from the spreadsheets published daily by MoH. These spreadsheets record the report date (presumably the onset of symptoms, or the date of a test) and various other data for every case. Unfortunately, MoH doesn't give a recovery date. So I make a guesstimate that 14 days is about the right time for recovery, and calculate "active at day N" as being the sum of new cases from day N-13 to day N. Some (most?) people will recover in 10 days, some will still be in hospital a month or more, so it's not very accurate. I'm sure the MoH has more accurate data, especially for hospitalizations, which they use to calculate their daily "active" count. But probably as a measure of how many active cases there are in the NZ population, it's still a bit uncertain.


Edit: Also, for the purposes of the "active" count, I include both "confirmed" and "probable" cases in my count. I don't know whether MoH does the same or not.

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  #2468041 22-Apr-2020 19:19
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Paul1977: Where can you get historical data by region? I’d like to look at the case history in my local region but can only find the current numbers.


If your idea of your local region coincides with your DHB's district, then you're in luck... the spreadsheets downloadable from the MoH's website include the DHB district of each case, as well as the report date, so you can filter by district and count by date. Or, if you want to get fancy, do a pivot table.

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