And should plug-in hybrids be included as part of the 64,000 target, after all they can travel at least 600 kms on a full tank of petrol?
But the issue is that we DON'T want people burning petrol. What is worse is that a new hybrid will end up staying on NZ roads for a couple of decades.
My prediction: Almost all new cars will be full battery EVs by 2030. By then they will all have a range of 500km or better and charging won't be a big issue. If you can buy a new Nissan Leaf with 120kWh solid-state battery (that comes with a 25-year battery warranty) for no more than a petrol car, and that is the cheap model with 720km range - who needs petrol? There will be longer range versions available that can tow a trailer and still go for more than 300km, no one will need a diesel for towing.
Sure, EV adoption seems to be picking up slowly, but it will be a LOT different over the next 5 years with a lot more makes and models to choose from and an ever-improving battery range available. If newer tech like solid state batteries can be brought out at lower prices then it won't be hard for EVs to have a lower TCO.