Boult and Wagner are not much good?
There have been close calls, but no reward. Bottom line is AUS is a better side then us, always are. Getting Smith out makes their winning a less than a forgone conclusion
By your reckoning AUS will score 600?
Not having Ferguson severely limits how effective our bowlers can be. Look at what happened with the new ball yesterday. Boult got very little out of it and Southee kept bowling across the pitch. Boult's opening wicket was incredible but you need two pacemen who can swing a new ball from both ends.
Wagner is fine if you want to pepper batsmen with shorter deliveries but we don't seem to have any other fallback options. Santner was out of the attack almost as quickly as he was bought in.
The Australians will have Shield level players bowling 150kmh deliveries at them all day in the nets. We just don't have the strike-power in this squad to trouble them in that way.