Geekzone: technology news, blogs, forums
Guest
Welcome Guest.
You haven't logged in yet. If you don't have an account you can register now.
Filter this topic showing only the reply marked as answer View this topic in a long page with up to 500 replies per page Create new topic
1 | ... | 98 | 99 | 100 | 101 | 102 | 103 | 104 | 105 | 106 | 107 | 108 | 109
4344 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 1871

Trusted
Subscriber

  Reply # 1665963 8-Nov-2016 19:05
Send private message

amiga500:

 

At 5.30 pm NZ time on Nov. 8,    five thirty eight polls plus forecast, has the Senate 50.3 % Republican, and 49.7% Democrats to control the Senate.    Couldn't be much closer than that.

 

There seems to be more momentum towards Republican in the Senate race than Presidential race.    This might turn out to be the consolation prize for the GOP.     Look forward to vote recounts & court battles

 

if the Senate is close.

 

 

 

 

Well, on the other hand, this guy - who has correctly predicted the last 5 elections - tips a Trump win with 87% certainty. 





iPad Air + iPhone SE + 2degrees 4tw!

These comments are my own and do not represent the opinions of 2degrees.


746 posts

Ultimate Geek
+1 received by user: 172


  Reply # 1666002 8-Nov-2016 19:58

Yep!    That primary model must be one thing that worries Clinton.    And the weather  forecast is not great for the eastern USA tomorrow.   


11982 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 2079

Trusted

  Reply # 1666028 8-Nov-2016 20:21
Send private message

SaltyNZ:

 

amiga500:

 

At 5.30 pm NZ time on Nov. 8,    five thirty eight polls plus forecast, has the Senate 50.3 % Republican, and 49.7% Democrats to control the Senate.    Couldn't be much closer than that.

 

There seems to be more momentum towards Republican in the Senate race than Presidential race.    This might turn out to be the consolation prize for the GOP.     Look forward to vote recounts & court battles

 

if the Senate is close.

 

 

 

 

Well, on the other hand, this guy - who has correctly predicted the last 5 elections - tips a Trump win with 87% certainty. 

 

 

I glanced today that Clinton has a solid edge. But I would not be surprised at all with a Trump win. iPad is charged, sits next to my work box (I work from home). 

 

We should have run a virtual sweep. Shall we? 


4344 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 1871

Trusted
Subscriber

  Reply # 1666120 8-Nov-2016 22:57
2 people support this post
Send private message

OK, here's my prediction. We are going to have a Brexit 2.0. I figure there are probably relatively many people who wouldn't normally come out to vote who are also the disaffected types most attracted by Trump. Also, I feel there are probably quite a few people who would never admit in public, but in secret are going to vote Trump because f*** the establishment, or whatever. On the flip side, nobody is going to say they will vote Trump but secretly want to vote Clinton.

 

So overall, I think the polls might be underestimating Trump's performance where it really counts, and he's going to be elected. It won't be a landslide, but I think the next day America is going to wake up to the same 'What the hell have we just done?' national shock that the UK went through after the Brexit vote.

 

TL;DR: Salty picks Trump by a narrow margin.





iPad Air + iPhone SE + 2degrees 4tw!

These comments are my own and do not represent the opinions of 2degrees.


6180 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 3128


  Reply # 1666129 8-Nov-2016 23:06
Send private message

I'll go the opposing view to that, and say that Clinton by >5% of the popular vote.  Trump will be thumped.

 

Reasoning for that is I suspect that polling is biased by many Latino/Black voters working shifts and not easily contactable, some who would have been Sanders voters that haven't got over what happened saying that they'll vote Trump despite the fact they'll vote Clinton or not vote, there will be women who'll vote for Clinton and not Trump at any cost despite not stating this in front of their partners or in polls, and that the combined averaged polls have all shown a swing for Clinton / against Trump over the past 48 hours.


746 posts

Ultimate Geek
+1 received by user: 172


  Reply # 1666137 8-Nov-2016 23:42

Trump surges to an early lead in New Hampshire by 32 votes to 25.    Some tiny towns are allowed to start voting at 12 midnight.   The very first results shown on Aljazeera had a whiteboard with 2 votes for Trump and 4 for Clinton.   Apparently these are results from more than one tiny hamlet!


1683 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 534

Subscriber

  Reply # 1666170 9-Nov-2016 07:36
One person supports this post
Send private message

It'll be a win to Clinton by about 5 million votes but an electoral college landslide.

Mad Scientist
18280 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 2312

Trusted
Lifetime subscriber

  Reply # 1666171 9-Nov-2016 07:39
Send private message

IDK

11982 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 2079

Trusted

  Reply # 1666172 9-Nov-2016 07:44
Send private message

I'll go for a narrow Trump win. I see that it should have been a landslide by Republicans, but he's lost votes, but they get there


51 posts

Master Geek
+1 received by user: 19

Subscriber

  Reply # 1666181 9-Nov-2016 08:21
Send private message

joker97: IDK

 

x2


6180 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 3128


  Reply # 1666185 9-Nov-2016 08:31
Send private message

IDK isn't a good answer - we're all making guesses - nobody "knows".


12234 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 5724

Trusted

  Reply # 1666187 9-Nov-2016 08:35
Send private message

Fred99:

IDK isn't a good answer - we're all making guesses - nobody "knows".



IDK is a valid answer




Mike
Retired IT Manager. 
The views stated in my posts are my personal views and not that of any other organisation.

 

 It's our only home, lets clean it up then...

 

Take My Advice, Pull Down Your Pants And Slide On The Ice!

 

 


6180 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 3128


  Reply # 1666205 9-Nov-2016 08:51
Send private message

MikeB4:
Fred99:

 

IDK isn't a good answer - we're all making guesses - nobody "knows".

 



IDK is a valid answer

 

But it's not a valid guess.  Nothing to fear, I hope, for making an incorrect guess.


12234 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 5724

Trusted

  Reply # 1666215 9-Nov-2016 08:54
Send private message

Fred99:

MikeB4:
Fred99:


IDK isn't a good answer - we're all making guesses - nobody "knows".




IDK is a valid answer


But it's not a valid guess.  Nothing to fear, I hope, for making an incorrect guess.



You can't tell someone how to think. You think what you think and let others do the same.




Mike
Retired IT Manager. 
The views stated in my posts are my personal views and not that of any other organisation.

 

 It's our only home, lets clean it up then...

 

Take My Advice, Pull Down Your Pants And Slide On The Ice!

 

 


6180 posts

Uber Geek
+1 received by user: 3128


  Reply # 1666225 9-Nov-2016 09:03
Send private message

MikeB4:
Fred99:

 

MikeB4:
Fred99:

 

 

 

IDK isn't a good answer - we're all making guesses - nobody "knows".

 

 

 



IDK is a valid answer

 

 

 

But it's not a valid guess.  Nothing to fear, I hope, for making an incorrect guess.

 



You can't tell someone how to think. You think what you think and let others do the same.

 

You seem to be in a happy mood today. I'm not telling anybody how to think, just commenting that IDK isn't a valid guess.

 

If my guess happened to be right, I'm not going to put on a party hat and dance around the room saying "told ya so".  


1 | ... | 98 | 99 | 100 | 101 | 102 | 103 | 104 | 105 | 106 | 107 | 108 | 109
Filter this topic showing only the reply marked as answer View this topic in a long page with up to 500 replies per page Create new topic

Twitter »

Follow us to receive Twitter updates when new discussions are posted in our forums:



Follow us to receive Twitter updates when news items and blogs are posted in our frontpage:



Follow us to receive Twitter updates when tech item prices are listed in our price comparison site:





News »

IBM leads Call for Code to use cloud, data, AI, blockchain for natural disaster relief
Posted 25-May-2018 14:12


New FUJIFILM X-T100 aims to do better job than smartphones
Posted 24-May-2018 20:17


Stuff takes 100% ownership of Stuff Fibre
Posted 24-May-2018 19:41


Exhibition to showcase digital artwork from across the globe
Posted 23-May-2018 16:44


Auckland tops list of most vulnerable cities in a zombie apocalypse
Posted 23-May-2018 12:52


ASB first bank in New Zealand to step out with Garmin Pay
Posted 23-May-2018 00:10


Umbrellar becomes Microsoft Cloud Solution Provider
Posted 22-May-2018 15:43


Three New Zealand projects shortlisted in IDC Asia Pacific Smart Cities Awards
Posted 22-May-2018 15:14


UpStarters - the New Zealand tech and innovation story
Posted 21-May-2018 09:55


Lightbox updates platform with new streaming options
Posted 17-May-2018 13:09


Norton Core router launches with high-performance, IoT security in New Zealand
Posted 16-May-2018 02:00


D-Link ANZ launches new 4G LTE Dual SIM M2M VPN Router
Posted 15-May-2018 19:30


New Panasonic LUMIX FT7 ideal for outdoor: waterproof, dustproof
Posted 15-May-2018 19:17


Ryanair Goes All-In on AWS
Posted 15-May-2018 19:14


Te Papa and EQC Minecraft Mod shakes up earthquake education
Posted 15-May-2018 19:12



Geekzone Live »

Try automatic live updates from Geekzone directly in your browser, without refreshing the page, with Geekzone Live now.



Are you subscribed to our RSS feed? You can download the latest headlines and summaries from our stories directly to your computer or smartphone by using a feed reader.

Alternatively, you can receive a daily email with Geekzone updates.