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3559 posts

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  # 2362319 28-Nov-2019 13:27
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What happened to Elizabeth Warren?

Washington Post, by By Philip Bump

...Something happened to Senator Elizabeth Warren (D Democrat Massachusetts). In early October, she was surging in the polls, rising in RealClearPolitics’ average of polls to match (and even briefly surpass) former vice president Joe Biden. At the time, we noted a recent history of people surging into ties — and then fading away. (Ben Carson in the 2016 Republican contest, for example.) That’s exactly what happened to Warren: a peak and then a fade.

Polling from Quinnipiac University released Tuesday allows us to look a little more closely at how Warren’s fortunes have fared. In that poll, Warren slipped from a clear first at the end of October to a tie for third with Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). Biden regained his lead, but South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg climbed into second. (Sen. Kamala D. Harris of California, who surged after the first Democratic debate, continues to poll in the single digits.)

We learn a bit more when we look at the shifts by demographic. Here is age, ideology, income and race. Take a look.

Two things stand out pretty clearly in many of those charts: Warren’s drop and Buttigieg’s increase. Among “very liberal” respondents, both Biden and Buttigieg appear to have gained at Warren’s expense. Her support among moderates, once respectable, collapsed entirely. It’s worth noting that the shift against Warren came after significant focus on her approach to Medicare-for-all — which Quinnipiac suggests has relatively low support among Democratic moderates.

2865 posts

Uber Geek

  # 2362355 28-Nov-2019 15:48
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I think if Buttigieg gets the nomination he's exactly the type of candidate who could win over moderates and swing voters.


He's a married white male who identifies as Christian, that has to help in middle America. But he's also young enough and progressive enough to capture the youth vote.


I quite liked Cory Booker, but his campaign has been a bit of a non-starter. Possibly a good choice for running-mate though. I think a Buttigieg-Booker pairing would be a smart move.


EDIT: I didn't realise that he's gay and is married to a man - maybe better not count on as much of the middle America vote as I first thought. There's still a lot of bigotry out there, and I suspect much of America wouldn't vote for him based solely on his sexuality.


3559 posts

Uber Geek

  # 2367765 3-Dec-2019 18:40
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Elizabeth Warren's strange inflatable dog. She takes her "first dog" Bailey on the campaign trail. You can't go wrong with a politician and her dog, unless it poops during her speech.

The two pennies represent the 2% tax levy on every dollar of fortunes above $50 million.

Maybe we should consider a similar tax levy here.

3559 posts

Uber Geek

  # 2370056 7-Dec-2019 14:45
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Biden Gets Feisty On His ''No Malarkey'' Iowa Bus Tour

The Late Show with Stephen Colbert

Joe Biden had an ugly exchange with a man at a public Q&A session today in Iowa

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