https://thedailyblog.co.nz/2023/10/16/old-zealand-beats-new-zealand-election-2023-winners-losers-predictions/ A lengthy election post-mortem from Bomber about why it went so wrong for Labour this time.
From want Ive read and heard on the election coverage on Saturday night, Global Covid govts were kicked to touch. Auckland felt aggrieved by their lockdowns. Election bribes which happen every election. Inflation, whether thats vastly caused by Labour and not anuthimg else, or has "some" global influence, the public doesnt care they want or need cash, understand that.
But end of the day NZ has the same basis we have always had. No natural resources that we can dig out and sell, we just have the tax take. The vast majority of our Govt expenses are always baked in, what they call "supply" The little bit left is a surplus. Not really a lot we can do with that. Personally I feel that analogising NZ to a low/medium family works. Not poor, but limited. A new TV, a re roof, plumbing or wiring is a real problem, they cannot just cash up and do it. They can tickle away over the years, but house maintenance wise if left, it will bite. Same as housing, infrastructure, health and education are biting us now. You cannot just fix that as its decades in the making, so no new Govt will matter. Chip away (pun not intended) as there is no real other option. Past Labour and new National have the same cards (Tax take and supply expenses) so no gain there. Those who endure more costs or who benefit from gains will just switch. Then switch back.