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Topic # 247724 19-Feb-2019 10:08
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I'm not going to bother doing anything special, the last cyclones we have had "Coming straight for us" have missed us and wasted peoples time and effort. This will really coincide well with my house moving efforts too...

 

 

 

Anyone have any thoughts re this? Not like we are looking at another Bola? 





 


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Master Geek
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  Reply # 2183480 19-Feb-2019 10:33
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Not much to say yet, as we still don't know exactly where it will go and how strong it will be when it arrives. It will be prudent to make the usual preparations. E.G ensure your house and yard are ready for strong winds/floods. Nothing loose lying around which could be blown and cause damage. Keep an eye on where it is going so you know if it will hit and how bad it could get. I wouldn't plan on being able to travel on the days it hits either.


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  Reply # 2183493 19-Feb-2019 10:36
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The weather guys are damned if the do and dammed if they don't. Put out warnings and nothing happens they get yelled at, don't put out enough warnings or the event is bigger than expected, they get yelled at.

Better to prepare for the worst and nothing happens than to not prepare and then the **** hits the fan.

Though I will say to listen to the weather services not the hyped up headlines in our news papers.

 
 
 
 


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Emergency Management

  Reply # 2183514 19-Feb-2019 11:04
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My question to you @Coil is how do you know we are not in line for another bola?

Like others have already said - isn't it better to be prepared that not?

@throbb - not just weather guys but every part of the Civil Defence Emergency Management community dammed if we do and dammed if we don't.

 

Couple of good sites to help
http://getthru.govt.nz/ & https://www.happens.nz/

 

The more people are prepared the less they need the emergency services or "welfare support agencies" 

https://www.civildefence.govt.nz/assets/Uploads/public-education/Civil-Defence-Disaster-Preparedness-report-2018.pdf from that report only 39% of us are Prepared at home or Fully Prepared which is disappointing given the disaster risk of NZ 


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  Reply # 2183515 19-Feb-2019 11:05
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I was in Kyoto last year when one came through.

 

 

 

Massive preparations: trains stopped, building sites cleared and tied down, the streets deserted etc etc.

 

 

 

What did we get? Less wind and rain that you get in the Wairarapa on a bad winter day!






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Emergency Management

  Reply # 2183519 19-Feb-2019 11:11
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Geektastic:

 

I was in Kyoto last year when one came through.

 

Massive preparations: trains stopped, building sites cleared and tied down, the streets deserted etc etc.

 

What did we get? Less wind and rain that you get in the Wairarapa on a bad winter day!

 

 

Was in Hong Kong when a similar situation happened.. they actually take it seriosuly, most kiwis just think its a joke and shell be right bro


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  Reply # 2183551 19-Feb-2019 12:01
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I'll be pouring some concrete around our garage (certain spots flood garage in heavy rain), otherwise just be doing the usual thing of making sure things are tied down. (joys of being north facing on a hill side)

 

 





XPD / Gavin / DemiseNZ

 

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Master Geek
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  Reply # 2183557 19-Feb-2019 12:19
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I guess we’ll find out on Thursday or Friday how it will affect us. The problem at the moment is the upper atmosphere doesn’t have anything definitive to steer it any direction (ie sub tropical jet, which looking at the weather map from work last night has it sitting across the middle of the South Island).

Yesterday did seem to be a slow news day for the media, so I presume they jumped on it because there wasn’t anything else to report on.

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  Reply # 2183558 19-Feb-2019 12:22
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You would think the world was coming to an end before it gets here if you monitor 'some' of the weather prediction pages and their 'MUST READ' 'MUST SHARE' requests putting a dampener on the awesome weather we have had

 

Which I think then lead to this to quash a few of them

 

https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/110659860/is-tropical-cyclone-oma-heading-for-new-zealand-or-not 

 

Which confirms, modelling is a sit and wait until its closer/clearer process.


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  Reply # 2183576 19-Feb-2019 12:47
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earth.nullschool.net (using https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/ data) has Oma nowhere near NZ as far out as their projection goes which at the moment is 7:00am Sunday 24: 

 

 

From that, it looks like we'll cop a bit of a Southerly - but that's about it.


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  Reply # 2183594 19-Feb-2019 13:24
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Coil:

 

I'm not going to bother doing anything special, the last cyclones we have had "Coming straight for us" have missed us and wasted peoples time and effort. This will really coincide well with my house moving efforts too...

 

 

 

Anyone have any thoughts re this? Not like we are looking at another Bola? 

 

 

Hopefully tracks to the east of NZ for some more good surf. The bay of plenty has been pounded by waves this summer wooohoo!

 

Admittedly, I am jaded by the sheer number of predicted storms that end up failing to impress.   Bola was the last really big one,  so they don't come too often. 

 

So, no preparations here, and too bad about moving, the worst job in the world!


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Master Geek
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  Reply # 2183596 19-Feb-2019 13:27
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Does anyone know why it is called Oma? That is the Dutch word for grandmother..


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  Reply # 2183603 19-Feb-2019 13:36
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Lostja:

 

Does anyone know why it is called Oma? That is the Dutch word for grandmother..

 

 

There is a list of predetermined names for each region a cyclone forms in. How they come up with the names is unknown... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_cyclone_naming

 

When a storm reaches a certain size it is given the next name on the list, in alphabetical order. The next storm to originate in Fiji's forecast region (South Pacific) will be named Pola.

 

Edit: See above post


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  Reply # 2183605 19-Feb-2019 13:37
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Lostja:

 

Does anyone know why it is called Oma? That is the Dutch word for grandmother..

 

 

It's a recognised girls name

 

 

 

Also

 

  • Arabic: Mother, people, nation
  • German: Grandmother, probably derived from the Latin meaning
  • Hebrew: Reverent, devoted
  • Irish: The color of olive
  • Latin: Mother and another name for the Roman fertility goddess Bona Dea

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  Reply # 2183606 19-Feb-2019 13:38
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IMO it seems to be the media sniffing for a story in order to get clicks. They tend to blow these things up creating panic

 

 

 

A Case in point. On the front page of one newspaper websie, it has the main headline .Cyclone Oma destruction will be 'devastating''

 

But when you click through to the story, it then says 'Cyclone Oma destruction will be 'devastating' if it hits NZ'. Talk about a clickbait headline. 


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