joker97: There are so many variables from fuel efficiency fuel management (save more fuel for the end to power past everyone?) To reliability (you only get five of everything for the entire year, and the same gear ratio for the whole season)
You my friend are very brave to predict that based on one raw speed test
Sure its early days, but the test days and FP1,2 and 3 show them well ahead. What irks me is the 100kg fuel limit, I don't want a mpg race, nor where one car is better, but has to drive slow to save fuel. If a car uses more fuel, they can carry more and that in itself is a penalty
The Championship is down to points, IMO, this year there will be many more mechanical and driver DNFs,at east in the first half season, and they may well play a big part, if a team can keep under the DNF average than its main rivals. two DNF's already in gearboxes and the season hasn't started