2026 Fuel Prices & Security of Supply

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2degrees

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#3468422 10-Mar-2026 13:45

You can really see the impact of the government's policy on cutting the clean car scheme and also the lazy way they handled RUCs in that graph. The sales % falls off a cliff when the clean car discount goes away, and the share of PHEVs grows whilst BEV sales stays basically flat.

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noroad

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#3468425 10-Mar-2026 13:54

kingdragonfly: Note when politicians talk about fuel reserves, they're going to quote

“oil tickets”, fuel stored overseas that can be claimed in emergencies.

Contracts are worth exactly zero when the bombs start falling, this concept is an absolute farce

fastbike

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#3468440 10-Mar-2026 14:29

SaltyNZ:

You can really see the impact of the government's policy on cutting the clean car scheme and also the lazy way they handled RUCs in that graph. The sales % falls off a cliff when the clean car discount goes away, and the share of PHEVs grows whilst BEV sales stays basically flat.

I could not read the Newsroom article (behind paywall) but there was an article last winter and as far as I know the basic underlying support (or lack of) has not changed.

$170m promised for EV chargers yet to materialise

"Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority (EECA) figures, released to Newsroom, state a further 136 charge points have been completed so far this year (2025).

If the 10,000 charger goal is to be met by 2030, 157 chargers will need to be finished every month for the next 54 months."

Otautahi Christchurch

cddt

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#3468445 10-Mar-2026 14:40

The government is really dropping the ball on this one. We want to know what the plan is. Or even that a plan exists.

Is there a plan to ration and prioritise diesel if stock drops to 14 days? 7 days? 3 days? Or the country just continues BAU until we get to zero and hunger sets in?

Surely the government has a plan to dust off in the event of a disruption of fuel supplies. But it would be nice to know they are taking it seriously. Right now the indications are they are ignoring it and hoping it will solve itself. Head in the sand as usual.

Reminds me a little of the weeks in January, February 2020 when a storm was gathering and our government (of the other colour that time) deferred and demurred until the last minute.

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#3468449 10-Mar-2026 15:00

Yeah Ambulance at the bottom of the cliff probably. Sort of like NZs health system when Covid hit, we had no decent true pandemic plans so the country had to lock down to prevent the health system becoming overloaded.

deepred

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#3468503 10-Mar-2026 15:42

I filled up earlier this week for $2.509/L, after the bombing of Iran started, and before the prices went up. Timing could never have been better.

"I regret to say that we of the F.B.I. are powerless to act in cases of oral-genital intimacy, unless it has in some way obstructed interstate commerce." — J. Edgar Hoover

"Create a society that values material things above all else. Strip it of industry. Raise taxes for the poor and reduce them for the rich and for corporations. Prop up failed financial institutions with public money. Ask for more tax, while vastly reducing public services. Put adverts everywhere, regardless of people's ability to afford the things they advertise. Allow the cost of food and housing to eclipse people's ability to pay for them. Light blue touch paper." — Andrew Maxwell

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deepred

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#3468505 10-Mar-2026 15:46

SaltyNZ:

mudguard:

MadEngineer:

^ Relevant: You are being misled about renewable energy technology.

Good god. Any chance for a quick summary rather than a link to a ninety minute video?

The TL;DR is that all the talking points against renewables are bollocks and renewables are a no-brainer even if you don't believe in climate change.

So the biggest obstacle to renewables is emotional. In other words, petro-sexuality, machismo, and the desperate need to look down on "lentil munchers".

ABC News: The strange macho appeal of fossil fuels in a world struggling to reach net zero
Petro-masculinity: Fossil Fuels and Authoritarian Desire by Cara Daggett, Virginia Tech, USA

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#3468512 10-Mar-2026 16:17

deepred:

I filled up earlier this week for $2.509/L, after the bombing of Iran started, and before the prices went up. Timing could never have been better.

so are you saying you are gonna lay low and hang off this one tank for another few weeks at least?

fastbike

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#3468514 10-Mar-2026 16:22

deepred:

I filled up earlier this week for $2.509/L, after the bombing of Iran started, and before the prices went up. Timing could never have been better.

Kinda missing the point - you need to be prepared for shortages of anything/everything that is distributed by a diesel truck if the Straits of Hormuz stayed closed longer than another week of so the guvmint will need to make some hard calls.

Fuel Supply Insecurity

Or more likely they will let prices escalate so the small guys get crushed

Otautahi Christchurch

Tinkerisk

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#3468516 10-Mar-2026 16:24

I don't care about petrol prices at all. I only ever fill up for €20 anyway. 😁

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#3468521 10-Mar-2026 16:30

Still got a couple hundred litres in the z sharetank from the late 2021 days, cost basis is 2.60$ per litre, Now prices are above my cost basis, I can start to use up some.

There is a clause in the contract Z Energy’s terms and conditions state that while the litres don't expire, you are expected to use your balance within a "reasonable period of time" after purchase. What that time period means who knows.

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deepred

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#3468540 10-Mar-2026 17:21

fastbike:

deepred:

I filled up earlier this week for $2.509/L, after the bombing of Iran started, and before the prices went up. Timing could never have been better.

Kinda missing the point - you need to be prepared for shortages of anything/everything that is distributed by a diesel truck if the Straits of Hormuz stayed closed longer than another week of so the guvmint will need to make some hard calls.

Fuel Supply Insecurity

Or more likely they will let prices escalate so the small guys get crushed

I only drive about once or twice a week at most. And it's a hybrid vehicle.

Handle9

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#3468541 10-Mar-2026 17:23

fastbike:

deepred:

I filled up earlier this week for $2.509/L, after the bombing of Iran started, and before the prices went up. Timing could never have been better.

Kinda missing the point - you need to be prepared for shortages of anything/everything that is distributed by a diesel truck if the Straits of Hormuz stayed closed longer than another week of so the guvmint will need to make some hard calls.

Fuel Supply Insecurity

Or more likely they will let prices escalate so the small guys get crushed

Energy is priced into everything and if the price of one form of energy goes up all the others go up in response.

SaltyNZ

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#3468553 10-Mar-2026 18:24

That’s right. I only drive EVs and it still going to hit me. Just less than someone who drives a ute.

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cruxis

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#3468565 10-Mar-2026 19:41

Putin says Russia can supply oil. They got a fleet of tankers ready to go too. 🤣 It time to get the sweet Urals crude onto the market.

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