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SaltyNZ
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  #3481978 18-Apr-2026 18:07
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freitasm:

 

Planning, sure. Action and results? Not so much.

 

 

 

 

Hey, you take that back. Shane Jones is going to spend $20M to add more diesel storage just in time for the diesel to run out!





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quickymart
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  #3482030 19-Apr-2026 07:32
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Heather Du Plessis of Newstalk ZB makes the case that Mark Mitchell should replace Luxon: https://archive.ph/9PKH4

 

 


gzt

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  #3482075 19-Apr-2026 12:05
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This coup thing really makes no sense. National party polling is not terrible. Luxon's personal rating is not terrible. Changing a leader has never worked for a government party heading into an election. Why would anyone in the National Party realistically want that. The whole thing makes no sense.



quickymart
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  #3482078 19-Apr-2026 12:25
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That's what I think too - I don't think ever changing leader of the party in government before an election has ever really worked.

 

Sure, it was one thing for Jacinda Ardern to step in in 2017 for Labour - but they were in opposition back then.


ezbee
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  #3482092 19-Apr-2026 13:32
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As is normal Luxon will be given a chance while National in Government.
It's Luxon's problem if he actually does want to go as its not the junket he thought it was?
Once in opposition it will be a toss up if its gone by lunch, dinner, or breakfast. 

 

Certain media are just talking it up for clicks.
Given the rewards for doing so other media follows or watches their views go down.

 

National, ACT, NZF have more of a track record for cuts.
Gave Wellington and other areas economies a heart attack.
People can see their healthcare and other services struggling even more. Water problems unaddressed.
Cuts to energy resilience.
Now in focus where investment in efficient electric rail freight and mass transit would have been handy
Industry is even struggling with power price killing off manufacturing for import substitution and export. 
The big build project was LNG with an increased power price tag.

 

Luxon's problem is not so much him as he has real trouble talking about positive things the Government did that were not cuts.
Oh and being the dog wagged by ACT tail. 


quickymart
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  #3482244 19-Apr-2026 19:01
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https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/592799/poll-result-national-falls-in-favour-coalition-count-lower-than-left-bloc

 

It gives the centre-left bloc of Labour, the Greens and Te Pati Maori the seats needed to govern with 66 compared to the coalition's 58, if an election was held today.

 

Another not-so-great poll for Luxon and co.


 
 
 

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  #3482273 19-Apr-2026 19:26
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Similar reporting from TVNZ. Again bad headlines yet the numbers are not particularly bad for the government and the current prime minister:

https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/04/19/poll-national-and-pm-nosedive-to-new-lows-left-bloc-would-gain-power/

Imo not an unusual situation for a government six months out from an election that has not started the campaign yet. Any comparison to historical data is likely to show that and any possible exception. Likewise the negative wisdom of party changing the prime minister any time really but particularly six months before an election.



gzt

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  #3482301 19-Apr-2026 21:08
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The Green Party says the Luxon government should launch the Ratepayers Assistance Scheme (RAS) now to provide government backed rooftop solar financing for new builds and existing homes.

RAS was independently developed by Local Government NZ and Rewiring Aotearoa. The government has made very positive noises about RAS for some time now with no obvious action taking place.

There are huge energy gains to be made particularly for new builds and new developments with planned grid access. The Green Party says Luxon could fund RAS with less money than the government already spent on energy consultants who told cabinet the LNG terminal is a really bad idea.

quickymart
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  #3482632 20-Apr-2026 20:21
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https://www.stuff.co.nz/politics/360967496/christopher-luxon-still-ghosting-stuart-smith-and-it-might-come-back-haunt-him

 

...But Christopher Luxon made his way through the morning media round with a new strategy: acknowledge there are concerns in caucus, tell everyone it’s coming from a small group, and try to communicate that he knows everyone’s issue with him - he’s not the “invite round for a barbecue and a beer” PM - but he can still do a good job.

 

By the time his post-Cabinet press conference came around on Monday afternoon, the fluster and bluster returned as he tried to obfuscate and stick to his lines that all was well on the Stuart Smith front.

 

I dunno, the orange buffoon can get away with this (to a point) - can Luxon do the same? 🤔


GV27
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  #3482635 20-Apr-2026 20:53
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gzt: The Green Party says the Luxon government should launch the Ratepayers Assistance Scheme (RAS) now to provide government backed rooftop solar financing for new builds and existing homes.

RAS was independently developed by Local Government NZ and Rewiring Aotearoa. The government has made very positive noises about RAS for some time now with no obvious action taking place.

There are huge energy gains to be made particularly for new builds and new developments with planned grid access. The Green Party says Luxon could fund RAS with less money than the government already spent on energy consultants who told cabinet the LNG terminal is a really bad idea.

 

There's some work to do with solar. The push towards medium density housing (terraced etc) complicates it. And large-scale developments sometimes use private networks (which in itself should not be legal but let's not get into that) which in turn can curtail rollout for entire communities. I'm not sure why those people should be forced to underwrite people who can actually get solar when they can't. 

 

And that's before we get into the issue of a lack of minimum buy-back rate, which seems like we should be looking into given that line companies get increases rubber-stamped with no real challenge - it's only fair that consumers should get the same levels of certainty and protection if they are generating their own electricity too. 

 

On an equity note, I am a little uncomfortable with assistance going to those who have the wealth and means to fit solar in the first place. At some point we'll need to make some tough calls about gas as an energy source for households too. We're not so flush with cash that we can afford to do everything, unfortunately. 


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  #3482642 20-Apr-2026 22:05
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GV27: There's some work to do with solar. The push towards medium density housing (terraced etc) complicates it. And large-scale developments sometimes use private networks (which in itself should not be legal but let's not get into that) which in turn can curtail rollout for entire communities. I'm not sure why those people should be forced to underwrite people who can actually get solar when they can't.

Medium density terraced and similar development provides designed-in economies of scale for installation which after all is how large developments work in practice.

Issues with private networks issue may not need excessive special treatment. I'm sure private networks will be happy to take power at a feed in tariff rate and retail that to residents where needed. It's just another margin opportunity.

The underwriting is not entirely dissimilar to the government providing underwriting for toll road development on behalf of people who will never drive on them. Those people will still derive a benefit from the availability of the infrastructure.

 
 
 

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  #3482656 21-Apr-2026 06:34
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gzt: Imo not an unusual situation for a government six months out from an election that has not started the campaign yet. Any comparison to historical data is likely to show that and any possible exception. 

 

It’s quite the opposite. These are historically terrible numbers for a first term government and a National government in particular  

 


The current numbers for National are 2002 English and 2020 Collins numbers. To lose 25% of their support in their first term would be unprecedented. 


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  #3482673 21-Apr-2026 07:56
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National has a lower share of the coalition this time. National was polling at 35%-40% in the leadup to the 2023 election. On the night they collected 38%. National is currently polling at 30%. It's not a bad position.

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  #3482690 21-Apr-2026 10:15
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Looks like there will be a leadership spill at caucus today ... if Luxon survives it will be as the night watchman until after the election (which looks unwinnable for national at this point).





Mike


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  #3482763 21-Apr-2026 12:59
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NZ Herald says Luxon moved a formal motion of confidence in his leadership and the motion was carried.

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