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Topic # 230504 26-Feb-2018 22:29
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As you all know, the Census is being done primarily online this time round. With the access codes being sent by snail mail. There doesn't appear to be any system to identify households that can't be reached by post, or who don't have a postal address on that database of valid addresses that NZ post (and Google - I think) run.


In the previous Census, the person who dropped off and collected the forms, asked me if there were any other households or dwellings on my property. But now unofficial dwellings, such as: houses split into multiple units by dodgy landlords, People living in garages, tents, caravans. People who are residing in commercial or industrial properties, farm outbuildings, houses that are in the process of being built - especially part of a subdivision where title hasn't yet been issued for the property. People who have parked a caravan or small cabin on land that is recorded as being vacant. And of course people who live in a vehicle - whether an old car, or expensive house bus.


What about properties that are not on a postal delivery route, or which are only accessible by boat?




And the big reason why the above is important - It is highly likely that the total number of houses recorded by this Census will be less than what it otherwise would have been. This in turn could be used as political capital by Labour, to say that very few new houses were built while National was in power.


Although in turn, the houses missed out would be more likely to be poorer households. So National could potentially claim a larger reduction in poverty than what it otherwise could of.


Thoughts? As it seems very bad that Census results could be manipulated for political gain. Even if the changes were only coincidental.



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  Reply # 1964898 27-Feb-2018 09:35
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its "digital first" but not "digital only"


But for the established urban areas why not use channels other than have someone knock at your door,




For the prepare phase we developed a high-quality address list. We will mail census materials to approximately 80 percent of dwellings. The address list is a key component of a mail-out census, and is created from the Statistical Location Register, which has a complete list of addresses in New Zealand.


A census field officer will visit all the addresses on the list to verify and update addresses to ensure the list is of the highest quality. They will visit addresses in mail-out areas and the information from these visits will be used to create a mail-out file. Canvassing of list-leave (non-mail-out) areas will happen the enable phase to avoid re visits. Census field officers can enter the land the property sits on to collect the necessary information and may speak to occupants.


In the next phase, dwellings will receive census materials by mail. If they are unable to receive them, a field officer will have to deliver their census materials. We will determine the ‘mail-ability’ of each meshblock in New Zealand based on the mail-ability of private addresses and the proportion of commercial and non-private addresses.


If we deem that a mail-out approach is less likely to be successful, we will take a list-leave approach. Areas not deemed appropriate for a mail-out approach include those where mail-ability is low and where an area is not predominantly residential.





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  Reply # 1964932 27-Feb-2018 10:24
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Why they don't tie it in with every second election so that they can combine postage with ballot papers etc, collect paper forms at polling stations etc is a bit illogical.

Governments can manipulate whatever they want. In this case the data is secret so who knows what is or is not done with it before we can see it?

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