The blue/white pair are your incoming line. One cable will come from the street, one into the house. Can you just visually follow the cable to see which one is which?
The red crimp is terminating the red/black unused pair. Given the other red/black pair looks twisted together, it's a reasonable guess the pair that has the termination crimp comes from the street, the pair with the knot goes to the house.
You will need to either run a new cable from the ETP to the modem location, or if the first jackpoint that the black cable goes to is where you want to put the modem jack, then use the spare red/black pair.