Looks like the 'direct' APN is not working this morning - I'm being assigned a public IP address but there is no IP reachability. Everything stopped at around 5:45am NZST. Any IP traffic destined for an IP assigned to the router is responded to with an ICMP Host Unreachable message:
traceroute to 118.148.58.24
10 91-0-148-118.nzcomms.co.nz (118.148.0.91) 27.952 ms 27.988 ms 27.963 ms
11 91-0-148-118.nzcomms.co.nz (118.148.0.91) 27.989 ms !H 27.897 ms !H 27.930 ms !H
Counters on my router (A Cisco 819) show traffic is being sent out but not a single packet is coming back in. After restarts and new dynamic IPs being assigned it still isn't working, but if I change over to APN: Internet then outbound access works (just no inbound...).
Hopefully 2degrees can have this fixed soon.