Alan Lichtman, the guy who predicts all the presidencies (technically even 2000 which he has proven), using his "keys". He is saying he is waiting until after the DNC for his final prediction, but right at this point, a LOT would have to go wrong for Harris to lose from here.
I think for me, Harris now at $330M raised in 8 days with 60% of that first time donors (ie these arent big tech billionaires, its largely individuals with lots of small amounts, supposedly), last I looked 170000 new volunteers. They have all the grass roots events in communities across the US set up. You combine all that with brilliant push back on Trump border and Inflation lies both in her rallies with an awesome well received speech and that excellent ad I put up earlier they plan to release once her running mate is named. I just dont see the honey moon ending.
One issue is supposedly axios is saying due to insider trading type laws, some governors cant accept donors, so I dont know if that changes her choice. The other is, all she needs is a running mate on the same page with Energy. With Shapiro its a bit dicey, being jewish he has had some bad opinions on Gaza and it may look fake for him to have the same views as Harris, but people can genuinely change a little, not JD Vance sell your soul 180, but if Shappro could explain his change of mind, thanks maybe to Harris etc, it could be genuine. But I would expect Vance to jump on it.
What is happening with these 70 odd Maga aligned Poll folk? That sounds like Trump trying to force a win? I know I dont have it quite right, but I heard something then forgot to clarify what it meant.....