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FineWine
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  #3281597 13-Sep-2024 07:55
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Now this polling article I can understand. BBC - US election polls: Who is ahead - Harris or Trump?





Whilst the difficult we can do immediately, the impossible takes a bit longer. However, miracles you will have to wait for.




kingdragonfly
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  #3281607 13-Sep-2024 08:52
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Alternate answers to Trump's "I have a concept of a plan" when asked about replacing Obama's Affordable Healthcare Plan

I've got a rough sketch of a plan

I'm working with a flexible framework

I've got the gist of it

I'm in the brainstorming phase

It's all part of the grand scheme

The Check's In the Mail

Weird Al Yankovic

"Well hey, how ya doin'? Have a seat, have a drink
Boy, it's good to see you, what can I say?
Oh, sorry, gotta run, we'll get together again
Say, what was your name anyway?
Well we're working on the problem, we'll get back to you soon (yeah)
But don't try to call me, I'll be in a meeting every afternoon
For a year, maybe longer, keep in touch
Thanks for dropping by and have a nice day"


TeaLeaf
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  #3281621 13-Sep-2024 10:12
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Polls starting to come in for today (12th in USA) in the GE

 

Morning consult +5% Harris

 

Ipsos for Reuters +5% Harris

Im guessing the reason Harris campaign wanted another debate was to keep momentum with less than 60 to go. I still think she should be doing the same soft question sit downs that Trump loves doing on Fox, but have them in key areas of the swing states on local channels as well as national to assure coverage, to keep people learning more about her policies and to debunk some of the silly myths.

Grass roots, she needs to keep the youth vote engaged in turning out to vote, it all looks promising now, but registering is only one part. So the effectiveness of her grass roots campaign is in the follow up. 

Speaking of youth votes, I tried to find the end number of new RV's came from Swift's endorsement, last data I can see is the 406000 within 24 hours. Swift did mention voting early but the gold stamp would be if she follows it up with a reminder ;-p On a serious note, that goes back to the grass roots and final stretch of the Harris campaign.




Rikkitic
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  #3281655 13-Sep-2024 11:23
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Plesse igmore amd axxept applogies in adbance fir anu typos

 


 


SaltyNZ
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  #3281657 13-Sep-2024 11:25
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I think that's the giant Elvis chicken rather than the Trump one. Although the hair is a decent match for Trump, the wings are way too big.





iPad Pro 11" + iPhone 15 Pro Max + 2degrees 4tw!

 

These comments are my own and do not represent the opinions of 2degrees.


Rikkitic
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  #3281660 13-Sep-2024 11:33
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I don't know but it is in front of the White House. That is the Washington monument on the left.

 

 

 

 





Plesse igmore amd axxept applogies in adbance fir anu typos

 


 


 
 
 
 

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TeaLeaf
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  #3281666 13-Sep-2024 11:47
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Rikkitic:

 

I don't know but it is in front of the White House. That is the Washington monument on the left.

 

 

Cripes I didnt know it was real, that is gold haha. Harris has become the one doing the narrative control, without bullying, but its not a good look for Trump either way.

and how nice is it to see MTG change her spots over night, suddenly defending Harris. I wonder if anyone buys this?

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/marjorie-taylor-greene-laura-loomer-harris-india-b2611353.html

 

 


SaltyNZ
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  #3281670 13-Sep-2024 12:02
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Rikkitic:

 

That is the Washington monument on the left.

 

 

 

 

Also not Trump's; his would be much shorter and sort of mushroom shaped, or so I've heard it described by someone who's seen a few in her time.





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These comments are my own and do not represent the opinions of 2degrees.


ezbee
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  #3281674 13-Sep-2024 12:08
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MTG is defending Trump saying this is not a reflection on him he is not racist.
South Asian vote is one that Trump does feel he gets a good boost.
A problem if Laura offends.
A la, Vivkek as Trumplican as you get. 
Bet Trump wishes he got a visit and a big hug from Modi like Putin got, all he got was Orban.

 

She's just Greenewashing. 


quickymart

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  #3281694 13-Sep-2024 13:08
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https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/12/politics/trump-harris-debate-fallout-analysis/index.html

 

After that debate shambles he had, the orange buffoon's friends are going to have to do a lot of cleaning up!


kingdragonfly
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  #3281697 13-Sep-2024 13:25
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quickymart:

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/12/politics/trump-harris-debate-fallout-analysis/index.html


After that debate shambles he had, the orange buffoon's friends are going to have to do a lot of cleaning up!



A petulant child screams from within his McMansion: "I am the winner! She is the loser! She's a cheater! Someone told her the answers before the test. The teachers love her and helped her cheat. I am a winner! Everybody is stupid! and liars!"

 
 
 

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TeaLeaf
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  #3281719 13-Sep-2024 14:48
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quickymart:

 

After that debate shambles he had, the orange buffoon's friends are going to have to do a lot of cleaning up!

 

 

Indeed. Trump clearly doesn't get how much of a fail it was and has been measured so and even with his HUGE loyal base, the numbers for Harris on nearly every metric were higher. 

He also brushes off the Swift endorsement like he did with Nikki Haley voters, ie he thought he didnt need her voters. I don't know if it's just bravado but he gains nothing by talking about it. If anybodys base is more loyal and larger, it could be hers.

I'm thinking he will change tune on a 2nd debate.

I think now, after he looked so deranged, is the time to let loose with an advert that points out his mental health decline. Similar to what Conway is trying to do for her, but leaning more toward do we want a President in decline already at 78yo.

Conways is a little less subtle, but now is the time.





TeaLeaf
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  #3281754 13-Sep-2024 15:55
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YouGov released their lastest GE Poll. Harris 52% Trump 47%.

Looking at "all polls" (all GE polls) avg, Harris is at 49.6%, Trump 46.3%

Whilst GE polls have to be taken for what they are, its also the case when you boost a candidate nationally, their Swing State LV or RV's grow as well, but this does not show up directly as each State also has its polls done individually. This is why Race to WH has a GE boost simulation, ie you can boost 2% and see what this does to their simulated Race to 270 across the map. Means little other than GE Polls do impact real world swing state situations, rather than simulated ones.

PA is back above that low 1% avg figure. Being THE state in the swing states with 19EV's, Harris is forging on with NV now nearly above 1% avg, combined with a slim hold over NC (0.3% avg), with Georgia and Arizona still within striking distance, it will be interesting if she goes on offense in these 4 slim lead states, or if she consolidates. This is where those strategist she hired then on top Obama's as well, will be needing to earn their keep.

Speaking of Trump's mental state, to me its going to be fascinating if it is put in the spotlight and if he will have to defend this situation, similar to what Biden had to go through.

Here is a little piece by a leading Psych from Meidas looking at Trump nearly a month ago.


quickymart

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  #3281845 13-Sep-2024 19:23
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kingdragonfly: The vile and disgusting Trump surrogate Laura Loomer.

 

More on this deplorable MAGA nutter here: https://www.thebulwark.com/i/148808074/quick-hits-trouble-at-mar-a-lago

 

 


ezbee
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  #3281847 13-Sep-2024 19:28
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There are plenty of crazy celebrities, but hopefully people take the time to look and see she is not wrong.
While preferring to stay private, by using their name you force them to have to state their position. 

 

Linda Ronstadt slams Trump 'hate show' coming to Arizona: 'No forgiving or forgetting'
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/12/linda-ronstadt-trump-hate-show-arizona/75197356007/

""
Linda Ronstadt took to Instagram to voice her displeasure with Donald Trump holding a rally in Tucson’s Linda Ronstadt Music Hall.
""
“I would prefer to ignore that sad fact. But since the building has my name on it, I need to say something. It saddens me to see the former President bring his hate show to Tucson, a town with deep Mexican-American roots and a joyful, tolerant spirit.
""
“I don’t just deplore his toxic politics, his hatred of women, immigrants and people of color, his criminality, dishonesty and ignorance – although there’s that,” she continued.
""

 

What is the point of policies, promises and plans if you are criminally dishonest.
Even concept of a plan, just more lies. 


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