tdgeek:
Paul1977:
tdgeek:
The Trump fever that hit the US has hit here too. There is no global crisis. The crisis is that the USA is being led by soemone who doesnt know what he is doing, his top staff are the same, and/or went against his policies, now they aren't, where Republican senators who are against his policy of banning moslems are now told they are weak in that topic. Its an embarrasment to the US and its citizens. He won't be taken seriously and is a growing laughing stock.
When the most powerful democratic nation in the world is being run like this it will have enormous global consequences. It may not be a crisis yet, but it's only been a week. If New Zealand was run like this the rest of the world could carry on as normal, but we're talking about the USA!
Can you list the enormous global consequences? Serious question
Trade. If he plays hard ball there that can hurt. But say for NZ, there are many downsides that have hurt our farming sector for exports. Drought, exchange rates (I have seen US rates in my lifetime go in the range .44 to low .80's) If we get stung woitn tariffs that force us to drop proices or we lose volume, that wont happen overnight, we can adapt. other countries will seek other partners, China and Mexico have mentioned each other
I don't see a war or close to it. His threats are not active aggression, they are misthought, misunderstood ideas of which he and his near cronies are not experts. It will be a shambles, but keen to hear what your thoughts are
I think major military conflict (over and above the usual) is unlikely, but even the trade stuff that you mentioned are pretty big deals. Crisis level, perhaps not, but not insignificant on the global market.
And I only see radical terrorism increasing as a result of his measures so far. The USA will become far more disliked than it already is, and that ill will can easily spread to any perceived allies.
I'm no expert on global politics or trade (far from it), but the US doesn't exist in a bubble.
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