Auckland Weather 27/01/23 and Cyclone Gabrielle

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#3034094 9-Feb-2023 16:11

Also will this one bring as much rain as the other one on the 27th, or is this one going to be dangerous in a different way (eg, less rain but more windy)?

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#3034095 9-Feb-2023 16:12

I'm setting up a dam at the front of the house to divert water away from getting into our nice refreshed bedroom...... just got that all sorted from the last downpour.

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#3034152 9-Feb-2023 16:32

quickymart:

Also will this one bring as much rain as the other one on the 27th, or is this one going to be dangerous in a different way (eg, less rain but more windy)?

Seems to be high winds with decent volume of rain, seems less than the 27th but with the wind it could cause far more damage... also noting that many slopes are still suffering from the 27th... Auckland could suffer quite badly in the hilly areas. Batten down anything that could fly, including trampolines and sheds!

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#3034188 9-Feb-2023 18:51

quickymart:

Also will this one bring as much rain as the other one on the 27th, or is this one going to be dangerous in a different way (eg, less rain but more windy)?

That one was supposedly a 1 in 250 year event. Days later the Gabrielle is worse (potentially)

Keep up to date, but what I can tell you is that this isnt an unlucky issue, the sea is hot, the air is hot, its not like a true 1 in 100 event. NZ, due to climate change is closer to the Equator/Tropic of Capricorn than it was before. A clue is that upper S.I. may also have issues, so Kaikoura to north of Welly is in play. I hope it isnt, but this will become annual

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#3034202 9-Feb-2023 19:26

pdh:
You said: > The Magnum is only marginally bigger than the Typhoon

I believe you are interpreting the numbers incorrectly.

I meant visually. It's going along the front of the house by the front door where it's very visible, so visual impact was a big consideration. The Magnum seems to be a slightly bigger-looking Typhoon if I interpret the photos correctly, just didn't want some industrial-grade plumbing hanging off the house by the front door.

For the other person who wondered whether a second downpipe might be enough, I need to replace the rubbish internal-clip guttering anyway so I can either get more Typhoon for that location or relocate the existing Typhoon to there and get Magnum. This is belt-and-suspenders, if there are further problems at least I'll know it's not the guttering. So the main consideration really was the visual impact, alongside any possible hidden gotchas, but @pdh has given it the thumbs-up so I'll go with Magnum.

I also think Marley will have to change their naming at some point to less over-the-top terms, could I suggest Stormcloud → Light Shower, Typhoon → Rain, Magnum → Downpour.

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#3034204 9-Feb-2023 19:31

xpd:
I'm setting up a dam at the front of the house to divert water away from getting into our nice refreshed bedroom...... just got that all sorted from the last downpour.

I'd set up an earth berm to divert floodwater away from the two properties that it would run down onto and back into the street drain and some d--khead ran his car over the top of it, creating a nice breach across it.

Thinking of writing a strongly-worded letter to the Times.

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#3034231 9-Feb-2023 21:33

Since people are posting tracking predictions, the one I used came from the US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Centre, scroll down to find the section Tropical Cyclone 12P (Gabrielle).

Anyone able to explain, or failing that BS convincingly, why it started out weaving all over the place and is now predicted to move in a dead straight line heading for NZ?

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#3034250 9-Feb-2023 22:23

jonb:
I find MetVuw forecast charts really good for events like this. Currently has the centre moving slowly from Northland to Auckland direction Monday and Tuesday, with most of the rain hitting Monday.

New Zealand Weather Forecast (metvuw.com)

Geez look at Valentines Day on the MetVuw maps. Big red splotch over the North Island. The word Massacre comes to mind.

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#3034285 10-Feb-2023 07:31

https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300803523/cyclone-gabrielle-set-to-reach-severe-category-3-status

Perhaps someone here can clarify. Media reports flip flop between Tropical Storm and Cyclone. A Tropical Storm is sustained winds up to 119kph, higher is a Tropical Cyclone. The above articles refers to the cyclone touching down early Tuesday, but there is a vast difference between the outer reaches of a weakening cyclone (as it moves further South) and an actual cyclone making landfall. Big rain and strong winds vs big rain and structural damage causing winds

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#3034287 10-Feb-2023 07:43

tdgeek:

https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300803523/cyclone-gabrielle-set-to-reach-severe-category-3-status

Perhaps someone here can clarify. Media reports flip flop between Tropical Storm and Cyclone. A Tropical Storm is sustained winds up to 119kph, higher is a Tropical Cyclone. The above articles refers to the cyclone touching down early Tuesday, but there is a vast difference between the outer reaches of a weakening cyclone (as it moves further South) and an actual cyclone making landfall. Big rain and strong winds vs big rain and structural damage causing winds

Expected to weaken to below TC strength by the time it arrives, I think Sunday morning it was expected to drop out of TC classification.

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#3034308 10-Feb-2023 08:36

Just a reminder - clear out your gutters. On the first weather bomb our overflowing gutters caused water to run under the house and through the basement. In between we got up and cleaned out the leaves and moss. On the second batch of heavy rain nothing came through the basement.

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#3034310 10-Feb-2023 08:42

Good advice. Get food in, including cold food if a power cut, get BBQ inside if available, charge phones, laptops and reduce internet usage if ongoing power cuts

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#3034337 10-Feb-2023 09:37

I need to know if Civil Defence plan on issuing Do Not Travel warnings for the period next week so I can prepare my staff and make arrangements. I imagine many other people will to. Leaving it until Saturday to declare for the following day is going to cause headaches.

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#3034345 10-Feb-2023 09:48

I'd assume most would assume its Do Not Travel (particularly that higher winds are likely) and arrange the staff as if it is Do Not Travel. If its isn't, then it's BAU

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#3034365 10-Feb-2023 10:22

I think that people should use a bit of common sense. Even if it's not a red do not travel, adding traffic to already clogged roads in bad weather isn't going to make anything better.

If you don't NEED to travel then you should probably stay off the roads.

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