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Topic # 205986 5-Dec-2016 18:09
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Who will be the next Prime Minister of NZ, based on National Party vote 12.12.16?
Bill English
Amy Adams
Steven Joyce
Paula Bennett
Judith Collins
Gerry Brownlee
Anne Tolley
Someone else more dynamic and exciting




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  Reply # 1682843 5-Dec-2016 19:03
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In this poll I would vote for "none of the above". But there is no option to do this.


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  Reply # 1682847 5-Dec-2016 19:09
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Hammerer:

 

In this poll I would vote for "none of the above". But there is no option to do this.

 

 

So who do you think it will be?

 

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  Reply # 1682853 5-Dec-2016 19:24
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I don't know who it will be but I'm picking that it will be none of the above. Normally a short time frame reduces the likelihood of a surprise. They've got a difficult decision not to lose many voters who like John Key. So who has a personality attractive enough to do this?

 

Next of the rank would be MPs like Simon Bridges. Perhaps he's a real option ... except that he closed down iPredict so I can't see what they would have picked. sealed

 

 

 

Edit: here's the 2015 Trans-Tasman review of MP performance for some possibilities http://transtasman.co.nz/publications/p1/downloads/public/Roll%20Call%202015.pdf


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  Reply # 1682858 5-Dec-2016 19:37
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Well, considering the rest of 2016, I'd have to honestly say Winston Peters.





iPad Pro 11" + iPhone SE + 2degrees 4tw!

 

These comments are my own and do not represent the opinions of 2degrees.


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  Reply # 1682873 5-Dec-2016 20:04
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No Grant Robertson?


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  Reply # 1682874 5-Dec-2016 20:06
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I know that Bill has received a lot of praise as finance minister, but some of his performances during the 2002 election were terrible and I don't really believe in the idea of bringing back a failed leader because they have 'learnt a lot since'. 

 

Paula Bennett would be my choice. Yes, a lot of people can't stand her, but they are mostly people who would never vote National anyway and she has that goofy carefree style of personality that has worked well for John Key.


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  Reply # 1682882 5-Dec-2016 20:19
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I'm surprised Jonathan Coleman is not being touted. 50 years old, a medical doctor with vast intl experience, current minister of health and doing a good job. He's 10th on the list and seems like a smart guy who is pragmatic and has good rapport with people. Perhaps Coleman and Bennett would be a good team.


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  Reply # 1682893 5-Dec-2016 20:27
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alasta:

 

I know that Bill has received a lot of praise as finance minister, but some of his performances during the 2002 election were terrible and I don't really believe in the idea of bringing back a failed leader because they have 'learnt a lot since'. 

 

Paula Bennett would be my choice. Yes, a lot of people can't stand her, but they are mostly people who would never vote National anyway and she has that goofy carefree style of personality that has worked well for John Key.

 

 

 

 

You are talking 15 years ago, and the world is a very different place. Also people change and learn. If that wasn't the case, then you wouldn't allow anyone out of prison.

 

I think it will be BE as PM, and PB as deputy. I  can't really see any other likely possibilities. But BEs time is possibly limited, due to the way  politics works, and he will need  a successor. Joyce as DPM is a possibility, as he is a solid performer and a steady pair of hands, but it probably is time for someone different and fresher.

 

 

 

I am surprise Brownlie hasn't voted well, as isn't he the third in line, after Key and English?


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  Reply # 1682894 5-Dec-2016 20:27
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networkn:

 

No Grant Robertson?

 

 

I can't see him changing parties just to be Prime Minister for the next 10-11 months...






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  Reply # 1682897 5-Dec-2016 20:31
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MileHighKiwi:

 

I'm surprised Jonathan Coleman is not being touted. 50 years old, a medical doctor with vast intl experience, current minister of health and doing a good job. He's 10th on the list and seems like a smart guy who is pragmatic and has good rapport with people. Perhaps Coleman and Bennett would be a good team.

 

 

 

 

Because the PM requires a lot of charisma, energy and likability. It often isn't the best qualified that gets it. To be honest, I hadn't really even noticed this guy before, which may tell you something.


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  Reply # 1682967 5-Dec-2016 21:17
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I don t believe Coleman has done a good job of the health system...from what I am told the actual increases in funding are still below inflation.

 

I vote English just for stability...election is close enough for him to prove himself or not....

 

I wish Little would also stand down....he is sooo unvotable.


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  Reply # 1683065 6-Dec-2016 09:05
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UMR Research recently carried out an online survey, if John Key was to go, who would people want as leader?

 

21 percent - Bill English

 

16 percent - Stephen Joyce

 

11 percent - Paula Bennett

 

6 percent - Judith Collins

 

45 percent - unsure

 


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  Reply # 1683071 6-Dec-2016 09:09
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I voted Bill English in the above Poll. It asked who I though *would* be the next PM.

 

He is not who I think *should* be.

 

Of that list, I'd give my vote to Joyce for next PM. Sadly, none of them have the charisma that Key has.


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  Reply # 1683123 6-Dec-2016 09:45
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MileHighKiwi:

 

I'm surprised Jonathan Coleman is not being touted. 50 years old, a medical doctor with vast intl experience, current minister of health and doing a good job. He's 10th on the list and seems like a smart guy who is pragmatic and has good rapport with people. Perhaps Coleman and Bennett would be a good team.

 

 

Good point, have seen him speak a few times and could definitely be PM material based on that.
Wouldn't be surprised to see Brownlee as deputy.


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  Reply # 1683124 6-Dec-2016 09:46
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mattwnz:

I am surprise Brownlie hasn't voted well, as isn't he the third in line, after Key and English?



Christchurch?

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