Here's the graph for Wednesday 29th April from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff

Here's the graph for Thursday 30th April from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff

Here's the graph for Friday 1st May from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff

Also good to see the number of clusters are reducing..

mentalinc:

 

Also good to see the number of clusters are reducing..

 

Yes, one "retired" today and a strong hint that there will be a number more in the next few days.
The criterion is no more cases related to the cluster for 28 days

🤞

Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest during the Covid-19 Outbreak in Italy 

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2010418?query=TOC

PolicyGuy:

mentalinc:

Also good to see the number of clusters are reducing..

Yes, one "retired" today and a strong hint that there will be a number more in the next few days.
The criterion is no more cases related to the cluster for 28 days

🤞

Here's the graph for Saturday 2nd May from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff

The "Active Cases" line is flattening off rather ominously

PolicyGuy:

 

The "Active Cases" line is flattening off rather ominously

 

Yes... it was particularly noticeable to me, because I still have my 17-day sum estimate in my spreadsheet, which I overwrite with each day's reported MoH active figure. My sum was 106, whereas MoH said 202. With only 5 in hospital, that suggests that many non-hospitalised cases must be lasting much longer than 17 days.

Which is also odd, because when I changed to the 17-day sum on 23rd April (i.e. a bit over a week ago), that was reasonably close to the MoH number. So, over the last week, there are suddenly 96 more old cases? I'm guessing that the MoH criteria for 'active' has been changed, or the process for clearing active cases has stalled. Maybe now it needs more than a self-declaration?

I'd like to be in the Beehive theatrette to ask Ashley about that on Monday. Anyone know a journalist who will be there?

Here's the graph for Sunday 3rd May from Chris McDowall | The Spinoff