Earbanean:

 

Super Rugby kicks off tonight, though it feels like it's still summer.  Maybe because it is.  It could be an interesting comp, with some tasty match ups along the way. 

 

I think you can't go past last year's finalists as this year's favourites, although I still think the Chiefs have a problem weakness at front row.  I think the Blues should be better this year, with Darry and Tu’ungafasi back (and Ioane away).  However, it looks to me like they have a bad lack of depth.  Same with the Highlanders, although they're even worse.  They could not afford to lose Holland and Pledger.

 

I think depth/injuries is such a huge factor in a comp like this.  The Chiefies and 'saders appear to have the best depth to me, but bad luck with injuries will test that.  

 

It's always fascinating to try to predict the new breakout/rookie stars - especially with a new ABs coaching team (and possible AB bolters).  Tangitau and Taumoefolau on the wing will be interesting - but need to show some aerial ability (like Clarke and Narawa).  A big year and opportunity for Reihana at 10.

 

I've always been a huge fan of very big (third lock style) blindsides for test rugby.  Vaa'i and Parker showed good promise, but never really nailed it down.  I'm really keen to see Dom Gardiner at 6 for the 'saders.  I'm glad they're playing him there and Blackadder at 7.  I liked what I saw of Gardiner at 6 in some previous game (can't remember who for).  He's my dark dark horse for ABs bolter.

 

 

 

I agree with everything you've written. I see the Chiefs as the biggest challengers to the Crusaders, however, in finals the Crusaders just seem to be able to find a way.