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SJB

SJB
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  #3186511 25-Jan-2024 17:52
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While America is notionally a democracy when it comes to voting for a President the electoral system means that only the 5 swing states matter. The rest might as well have already voted.

 

And a small number of voters in each state can make a difference so in a country with 300+ million people a few thousand pick the President.

 

The popular vote is irrelevant. A person could win the popular vote by a huge margin and still lose the election.

 

Trump is ahead in all 5 swing states.


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  #3186522 25-Jan-2024 18:23
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The Trump thread seems appropriate for this one:
 


 

The Washington Post - Doomsday Clock at 90 seconds to midnight amid nuclear and AI threats

 

24 Jan 2024

 


The world remains the closest it has ever been to the symbolic hour of the apocalypse, with the Doomsday Clock set once again to 90 seconds to “midnight” for 2024. ...

 

The clock, which has been used for seven decades, was created by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists in 1947 amid Cold War nuclear tensions - and is seen as “a universally recognized indicator of the world’s vulnerability to global catastrophe caused by man-made technologies” ...

 





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quickymart
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  #3186557 25-Jan-2024 20:15
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SJB:

 

Trump is ahead in all 5 swing states.

 

 

For now, maybe.


Tinkerisk
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  #3186560 25-Jan-2024 20:29
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kingdragonfly: But American law enforcement attitudes, while changing at a glacial pace, are changing.

See Mark and Patricia McCloskey as an example, two Florida lawyers waving guns at a peaceful marchers.

 

What these crazy American gun guys completely miss is that although they have the right to bear arms,

 

BUT

 

other citizens naturally also have the right not to be endangered by them through unnecessary waving around or even aiming with these weapons in public, whether loaded or unloaded.





     

  • Qui nihil scit, omnia credere debet. - He who knows nothing must believe everything.
  • Firewalls do NOT stop dragons.
  • Avoid Big Tech!
  • In effect we have everything to hide from someone, and no idea who someone is.

gzt

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  #3186580 25-Jan-2024 22:22
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Sideface:

The Trump thread seems appropriate for this one:
 


All it needs is a big orange dot representing midnight. ; )

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  #3186621 26-Jan-2024 07:42
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The NY Times - Late Night Sums Up the New Hampshire Primary

 


    “He beat Nikki Haley by double digits. He’s also leading Nikki Haley by double digits in felony charges, 91 to zero.” - JIMMY KIMMEL

 

    “Trump defeated Nikki Haley 54 to 43. It’s the very first time he’s ever been happy to see a woman in her 40s.” - STEPHEN COLBERT

 

    “Trump cruised to victory, and just like most cruises, half the people partied while the other half felt really sick.” - JIMMY FALLON

 





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  #3186754 26-Jan-2024 12:14
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No surprises: Big pharma (drug companies say 'keep those drugs expensive!') and Wall Street (Tax cuts for the rich, more corporate welfare, less environmental regulations) mostly want Trump.

Companies that send jobs overseas and trade heavily with China ... not so much.

Reuters: As Trump-Biden rematch looks likely, Wall Street maps out election impact

...
For now, the market’s spirits are high. After a wild two-year ride, the S&P 500 stands at an all-time record on expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates later this year while the economy remains resilient. Bets on Fed easing have also brought down Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, from last year’s 16-year highs.

Lower taxes could give a broad boost to equity markets if Trump wins and succeeds in making his 2017 cuts permanent - though fears of a revived trade battle with China might counterbalance some of those gains, analysts at TD Securities wrote in a recent report.

Trump has proposed to increase tariffs by 10% across the board to bolster U.S. manufacturing.

Tax cuts could also stir fears of growing budget deficits and weigh on Treasury prices by pushing up term premium - a measure of the compensation investors demand for holding long-term bonds, the firm wrote.

Rating agency Fitch last summer downgraded the U.S. government’s top credit rating, citing factors including expected fiscal deterioration in coming years.
...

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  #3186755 26-Jan-2024 12:15
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Time: The Not-So-Quiet Majority Keeping Trump Accountable

The question that hovers over all of American public life in 2024 is a daunting and unprecedented one: Will Donald Trump face accountability for all of his alleged misdeeds? Should he? And if so, how?

While this gets debated by commentators and various political actors, one crucial fact seems to get lost. Most Americans believe that Donald Trump should face the music.
...

geekIT
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  #3186778 26-Jan-2024 12:51
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Rikkitic:

 

A question that has been niggling at me: Say Biden does win the general election. Maybe not by a huge margin, but enough to be convincing. 

 

If Trump and his supporters still don't accept that Biden won the last time, why does anyone think they will accept it next time? What happens when they don't? Are the authorities preparing for mass civil unrest or don't they think that will happen for some reason? Will there be another coup attempt? Civil war? Will the military take sides?

 

All of this is possible. But all of this could be fixed right now by the Supreme Court ruling that all states are able to strike Trump from their ballots. According to the US Constitution, such a ruling is in no way radical.





Trump crowned? No faux King way!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


ezbee
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  #3186921 26-Jan-2024 15:29
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Mass civil disturbance.
I think we saw the peak on Jan 6th, and while some sentences are light.
There has been enough to give people pause to think, especially if they are still on bail after release.
Proud Boys and Oathkeepers who really broke the line and drove things forward in particular.

 

Police have learned that those who 'proport' to hold the law and constitution as sacred.
They are just talking. Just as if not more dangerous than any others.

 

A fully loaded pistol was recovered in the trash on the grounds.
They were very lucky it got torn off a protestor in the scuffle and lost in chaos of torn down fencing etc.
There will be no treating these people as harmless law abiding patriots this time.

 

Edit, Oh that was in addition to this guy who had two on him.
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/10/21/politics/january-6-capitol-rioter-guns-sentenced/index.html

 

Plus there will not be a President just sitting there grinning at big screen TV, calling for popcorn in transition.

 




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  #3186927 26-Jan-2024 15:56
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Speaking of the thugs involved in the riot... https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/jan/24/proud-boys-capitol-rioter-sentenced-marc-bru

 

Bet this guy won't be so mouthy now he'll be behind bars!


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  #3186939 26-Jan-2024 16:39
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Sideface:

 

The Trump thread seems appropriate for this one:
 


 

The Washington Post - Doomsday Clock at 90 seconds to midnight amid nuclear and AI threats

 

 

I thought the Doomsday Clock was solely about potential nuclear Armageddon, are they factoring in other things like climate change now? I don't think we're anywhere near the closest to nuclear Armageddon we've ever been. All the major nuclear powers of the world know that to use them would end in their own destruction as well.


kingdragonfly
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  #3187026 26-Jan-2024 18:03
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Paul1977:I thought the Doomsday Clock was solely about potential nuclear Armageddon, are they factoring in other things like climate change now? I don't think we're anywhere near the closest to nuclear Armageddon we've ever been. All the major nuclear powers of the world know that to use them would end in their own destruction as well.


The organization that created the Doomday clock is the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

I think from 1947 through roughly the 1970's it's sole focus was on atomic weapons, but has slowly grown to "dangerous technologies of our own making."

Before Covid, in early 2020, they made this statement (written before Covid, but published shortly after)

"Humanity continues to face two simultaneous existential dangers—nuclear war and climate change—that are compounded by a threat multiplier, cyber-enabled information warfare, that undercuts society’s ability to respond. The international security situation is dire, not just because these threats exist, but because world leaders have allowed the international political infrastructure for managing them to erode."

Since Covid, they've been publishing quite a few articles on biological threats, from natural to man-made, and are now including AI (beyond information warfare).

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  #3187064 26-Jan-2024 21:43
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https://edition.cnn.com/2024/01/26/politics/trump-strongman-power-gop-analysis/index.html

 

Trump might want to pay attention to this and close his big, loud mouth...but of course, he never, ever listens to advice 🙄

 

But there are also risks for Trump in his truculent approach. By throwing his weight around he could confirm Biden’s arguments that he’d endanger democracy if elected to a second term in November. And the bullying approach and sexist language he’s using toward Haley could alienate some of the more moderate, independent, suburban voters that she’s attracting in the GOP primary. These are exactly the kinds of voters that Trump alienated in his 2020 defeat. If he’s to win another term, he must at least mitigate his deficit to Biden among this group in November. 

 

Trump has appeared deeply frustrated that Haley is defying his calls for her to leave the race, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins has reported. During his New Hampshire speech, he mocked the dress she wore on caucus night in Iowa. He has been calling her “birdbrain” on social media. Trump has also warned that anyone who makes a financial contribution to her will be “barred from the MAGA camp” – which Haley has turned around into a fundraising pitch for her campaign. 

 

Once again, Trump proves to the world what a spoilt, petulant child he is when challenged. And this is the sort of clown (some) Americans want as their president, again? Spare me.


kingdragonfly
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  #3187174 27-Jan-2024 09:06
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From Jimmi Kimmel's monologue last night.

...Speaking of diarrhoea, Donald Trump testified today he is in the defamation trial related to his sexual assault of E. Jean Carroll

A jury is there to determine how much he will have to pay and we know he doesn't like to pay so he showed up to speak on his own behalf. Everything went smoothly until the judge asked him to tell the truth the whole truth

Everybody busted out laughing. Trump took the stand for a total of three minutes he was not on good behaviour

He was disruptive in court. He claimed again that he's never even met E. Jean Carroll. She was well known in New York and he admitted to knowing her now ex-husband. His other line of defense somewhat unbelievably even for Donald Trump was "she's not my type":

Trump in court: "I will tell you I made that statement and I said well it's Politically Incorrect 'she's not my type' and that's 100% true. She's not my type"

That is 100% true. He only sexually assaults his type. It's one of his policies.

Not only was that a vile thing to say, this is what happened when E. Jean Carroll's lawyer showed Trump a photo of himself with this woman he claims he's never met.

This is remarkable because he confuses a lady who isn't his type with his own former wife Marla.

So the woman on the right here with the one wearing his hair is his wife at the time Ivana, the one he buried on his golf course.

The other woman is E. Jean Carroll.

He looks at this picture and thinks it is his wife.



Trump: "I don't even know who the woman. Let's see I don't know who. It's Marla. [pointing to E. Jean Carroll, Trump's says it his ex-wife Marla]

Judge: "you say Marla's in this photo? [Marla is not in photo]

Trump: "That's Marla. Yeah that's that's my wife which is here." [pointing to E. Jean Carroll]

Judge: "that the person you just pointed to was Carroll"

Trump: "Who is the one I pointed to? I don't know, this was the picture.

Is that that's Carol Carol because it's very blurry.
"

[Jimmy continue. Mocking Trump]

Ooops. Yeah, It's super blurry. the bronzer gets In your eyes and it makes things blurry.

It makes things so blurry you marry someone who looks exactly like someone who isn't your type.

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