2019 Novel Coronavirus Covid-19 Discussion

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#2458200 9-Apr-2020 13:09

freitasm:

23 new confirmed and 6 probable. No new cases. 14 cases in hospital, 4 in ICU.

Trending in the right direction! Fantastic update!

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#2458207 9-Apr-2020 13:15

Everyone arriving from today to be in quarantine for 14 days.

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#2458223 9-Apr-2020 13:27

freitasm:

Everyone arriving from today to be in quarantine for 14 days.

This was the one big ideological blind spot in the government's response. With that plugged and provided people stay the course during level 4, we might yet be the first western country to manage to eliminate COVID-19. Fingers crossed.

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#2458224 9-Apr-2020 13:27

This is very very good news, do we have test numbers from yesterday? If they are up to the same or more test numbers from the last few days the percentage drop is big.

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#2458232 9-Apr-2020 13:32

It does show that the test plan was the right plan.

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#2458235 9-Apr-2020 13:35

tripp:

This is very very good news, do we have test numbers from yesterday? If they are up to the same or more test numbers from the last few days the percentage drop is big.

From the stream it was over 3900. can't remember the exact figure.

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#2458237 9-Apr-2020 13:37

From CNN today:

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#2458240 9-Apr-2020 13:38

The other big thing from today's conference that the decision on level 4 continuance or which level will apply will be made 2 days before on 20 April so Government can make a call based on the latest figures.

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#2458337 9-Apr-2020 13:46

I wonder how they are going to manage the asymptomatic and sub-clinical cases that could be sitting there waiting to be let out into the wider population.

How many people are there that have ‘a bit of a tickly throat’ that haven’t met the threshold to be tested? It is after all the start of the cold and flu season. It only takes one to become patient zero in a new outbreak. I’m assuming that’s what the second two weeks of the lockdown seek to achieve.

The authorities (quite rightly) crash dived the submarine into the lockdown and have then been trimming things out in the depths. The difficult part will be getting back to the surface.

I wish the antibody tests were widely available.

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#2458343 9-Apr-2020 13:53

Dingbatt:

I wonder how they are going to manage the asymptomatic and sub-clinical cases that could be sitting there waiting to be let out into the wider population.

How many people are there that have ‘a bit of a tickly throat’ that haven’t met the threshold to be tested? It is after all the start of the cold and flu season. It only takes one to become patient zero in a new outbreak. I’m assuming that’s what the second two weeks of the lockdown seek to achieve.

The authorities (quite rightly) crash dived the submarine into the lockdown and have then been trimming things out in the depths. The difficult part will be getting back to the surface.

I wish the antibody tests were widely available.

The PM did say as well today that we will only move as far as Level 3 from where we are now and that this is a marathon not a sprint.

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#2458349 9-Apr-2020 14:02

Dingbatt:
I wonder how they are going to manage the asymptomatic and sub-clinical cases that could be sitting there waiting to be let out into the wider population.

How many people are there that have ‘a bit of a tickly throat’ that haven’t met the threshold to be tested? It is after all the start of the cold and flu season. It only takes one to become patient zero in a new outbreak. I’m assuming that’s what the second two weeks of the lockdown seek to achieve.

The authorities (quite rightly) crash dived the submarine into the lockdown and have then been trimming things out in the depths. The difficult part will be getting back to the surface.

I wish the antibody tests were widely available.

Yeah relies on people letting their doctor know if they have any flu like symptoms and hopefully get tested.

My son got tested 1st day of lockdown and got result of negative 5 days later. (he had a flu jab 4 days before lockdown). We still kept him in strict isolation for 14 days as advised

Yesterday was supposed to be last day of isolation for him, and he had been symptom free for the previous 5 days, but yesterday he developed a sore throat again and started coughing. Contacted Healthline and he was referred for another test, which he did yesterday afternoon.

So will need to hammer home for people to be cautious as we start to come out of lockdown.

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#2458354 9-Apr-2020 14:05

freitasm:

Everyone arriving from today to be in quarantine for 14 days.

At long last ! The experts and public had been calling for this to happen for weeks..

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#2458355 9-Apr-2020 14:06

cshwone:

The other big thing from today's conference that the decision on level 4 continuance or which level will apply will be made 2 days before on 20 April so Government can make a call based on the latest figures.

Commentary around this had strongly suggested we'd have a firm idea around the 10th - hopefully we get some stronger indications then "we'll give you two day's notice". There's a very limited number of trading days between the 23rd and the Friday in the following week, when 1st of month payments (for most, rents) will be due again.

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#2458356 9-Apr-2020 14:08

Dingbatt: I wonder how they are going to manage the asymptomatic and sub-clinical cases that could be sitting there waiting to be let out into the wider population.

How many people are there that have ‘a bit of a tickly throat’ that haven’t met the threshold to be tested? It is after all the start of the cold and flu season. It only takes one to become patient zero in a new outbreak. I’m assuming that’s what the second two weeks of the lockdown seek to achieve.

The authorities (quite rightly) crash dived the submarine into the lockdown and have then been trimming things out in the depths. The difficult part will be getting back to the surface.

I wish the antibody tests were widely available.

I wish we had competent journalists. This one question they should be asking. We have been testing asymptomatic/pre-symptomatic people (usually close contacts like the school down south). I would like to know if anybody in NZ has tested positive without any symptoms.

markhodgeNZ

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#2458357 9-Apr-2020 14:08

Dingbatt:
I wonder how they are going to manage the asymptomatic and sub-clinical cases that could be sitting there waiting to be let out into the wider population.

How many people are there that have ‘a bit of a tickly throat’ that haven’t met the threshold to be tested? It is after all the start of the cold and flu season. It only takes one to become patient zero in a new outbreak. I’m assuming that’s what the second two weeks of the lockdown seek to achieve.

The authorities (quite rightly) crash dived the submarine into the lockdown and have then been trimming things out in the depths. The difficult part will be getting back to the surface.

I wish the antibody tests were widely available.

Ths UK exeprience shows that these are mostly useless so far:

In a blog post, the University of Oxford academic explained: "Sadly, the tests we have looked at to date have not performed well." He added, "We see many false negatives and we also see false positives...This is not a good result for test suppliers or for us."

The British government ordered 3.5 million of the antibody tests, largely from China, last month. A provisional order of 17.5 million kits was placed with nine companies, including some in the U.K., the Daily Telegraph noted. But Bell said none were reliable enough to roll out for mass testing.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-07/new-test-hopes-dashed-as-u-k-finds-antibody-kits-don-t-deliver

https://www.newsweek.com/uk-says-millions-coronavirus-test-kits-bought-china-unreliable-most-patients-1496506

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