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fortydayweekend: The Electricity Authority just made it clear that they want people to be discouraged from installing solar, and that they're prepared to allow changes to tariffs to let it happen. Their rationale is that by avoiding lines charges, people without solar will end up subsidising those with it.
http://www.ea.govt.nz/development/work-programme/transmission-distribution/distribution-pricing-review/consultations/#c15642
At the same time they're signalling that cutting peak loads is good (so that lines don't need to be upgraded) and that in-home batteries can be used to spread your use out over the day to cut the peak demand. So batteries are likely to work out better.
The outcome they're looking for is for the variable rate to drop from 25-odd c / kWh to more like 15-20c / kWh. The income would then be made up by more fixed charges, based on either capacity or peak demand.
For an average house with an average solar setup you could be a few hundred dollars / year worse off, because the electricity you don't buy will be cheaper per unit, and your fixed charges will go up. If the variable charges become peak demand charges and you can avoid them by spreading your load with a battery, and if a 10kWh Tesla PowerWall can do that for $3000 the payback time on batteries might be really good. You won't need solar to do it, just the battery.
It'll be different in every region with different lines companies but there's a strong possibility that solar will be financially a lot worse off within a couple of years, and batteries will be a good investment.
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