Kickinbac:
Handle9 What constitutes over sizing? There are many variables and trade offs.
A poorly designed system. A well designed system should be to able to control within dead band in auto over the full range of design conditions while providing the lowest total cost of ownership to the customer.
You are completely correct that there are many variables and tradeoffs. The range of control of the unit should be able to balance these out in a well designed system. The problem is far too many mechincal engineers, let alone heat pump jockeys, think that the controls can overcome flawed mechanical design.
This becomes apparent in the shoulder season and is particularly acute in small rooms. Small rooms are really "twitchy" to control, small changes in energy input can cause big swings in temperature due to their low thermal mass. When you control an HVAC system you are looking for a lazy response curve. If you are living at the bottom of the range of control you end up shocking the room and you get draft complaints in cooling.
If you start from a design point which is sound then make compromises due to practicality the controls can normally cope fine. When you start from a heavily compromised mechanical system the controls can't cope and you end up with all sorts of negative consequences. When you look at trends in a large system it stands out like dogs balls, most of the rooms will have lovely smooth temperature trends where the oversized units bounce around like crazy. This is with chilled water where you can actually turn down to zero, let alone with refrigerant systems which have minimum run points.