networkn:NonprayingMantis: Soooooo unlimited Naked VDSL for $79. Interesting.
Cheapest unlimited VDSL in the market by at least $10.
so doing a bit of math, that is fixed ARPU of $68 when you remove GST, with no possibility to earn landline calling revenues on top (cos it's naked).
Given you pay Chorus ~$50 per month for VDSL, that leaves about $19 to spend on everything else. (you aren't using your own LLU I believe for VDSL)
So after all your other 'stuff' (modem, support staff, sales commission, product management, marketing, profit etc) how much of that $19 are you allocating to international bandwidth? $2? $3?
Why do you care how much money they make? They have decided as a company it's "enough" and believe they can bear the extra load on the network. They aren't going to risk potentially losing thousands of customers by deliberately overselling the infrastructure, and if they get it wrong, they probably have deep enough pockets they will "make it right".
I don't care how much money they make.
I do care that they allocate enough of their budget to bandwidth to provide the customer a good enough experience. Based on that pricing, it doesn't seem possible to do this.
We know, for example, that Orcon and Slingshot are hardly making out like bandits on profit, yet their VDSL unlimited pricing is 30% higher than this. (Orcon is $109, Slingshot is $109/$119, even Telecom's naked VDSL is $99 for unlimited). So I don't see how Vodafone can do it at $79, and still have enough money to provide enough bandwidth for a good unlimited experience.
This launch seems an obviously rushed response to Telecom selling unlimited (no big marketing campaign, website doesn't work quite right, automatic 'migration' of customers is faster than building new plans) so it's possible (maybe even likely) that they haven't actually thought through the impact properly and I am concerned that we are going to end up with lots of people stuck on contracts having a crummy experience, and unable to get out of it, because they agreed to 'traffic management'.
The reason I am concerned it that if we see Telecom or the other guys panicking and responding to this by doing the same sort of thing, then we are going to end up with NZ being a country that has awesome last mile infrastructure, BUT, ISPs will only be able to afford to spend teeny dribs and drabs on international so any traffic from overseas is going to suck. Furthermore, the amount they can allocate to customer service will also drop, meaning longer wait times and just poorer service generally etc.
Telecom might be able to get away with repsonding to this, but no way could Orcon or Slingshot drop their naked unlimited pricing for VDSL down as far as that. Wouldn't be surprised if they complained to the comcom about anti-competitive behaviour. (don't now if they would have a case, but they might give it a try)